IL-Victory Research: Biden leads Warren, Buttigieg, and Sanders 23-17-16-15
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  IL-Victory Research: Biden leads Warren, Buttigieg, and Sanders 23-17-16-15		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: IL-Victory Research: Biden leads Warren, Buttigieg, and Sanders 23-17-16-15  (Read 765 times)
Sorenroy
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« on: December 02, 2019, 12:51:07 PM »
« edited: December 02, 2019, 10:31:10 PM by Sorenroy »
Sample size of 1,200 likely voters, conducted November 22nd to 25th. Change is from their previous poll conducted four months ago.

Biden — 23% (-13%)
Warren — 17% (+4%)
Buttigieg — 16% (+7%)
Sanders — 15% (±0)
Bloomberg — 4% (-)
Harris — 3% (-6%)
Klobuchar — 3% (+1%)
Patrick — 2% (-)
Booker — 2% (+1%)
Steyer — 2% (+1%)
Castro — 2% (+1%)
Yang — 1% (+1%)
Gabbard — 1% (+1%)
Williamson — 1% (+1%)
Bennet — 1% (-)
Bullock — 1% (+1%)
Sestak — 0% (±0)
Delaney — 0% (±0)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20191202_IL.pdf
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Pollster
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« Reply #1 on: December 02, 2019, 12:53:02 PM »
Illinois’ Democratic primary electorate most closely resembles the national one - no surprise to see similarity to national numbers here.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #2 on: December 02, 2019, 12:53:06 PM »
The #Petementum is real.

Horrible news for Biden and Bernie.

Decent news for Warren.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #3 on: December 02, 2019, 12:53:41 PM »
Confirms that Biden after Super Tuesday,  is gonna be the presumptive nominee; consequently, Buttigieg, all but ended the Warren movement 😎
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #4 on: December 02, 2019, 10:33:02 PM »
Original post updated to include the 14 other candidates and the PDF link to full crosstabs.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #5 on: December 03, 2019, 07:09:58 AM »
Look at those AA+Latino numbers for Pete!!  👀👊
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Pollster
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« Reply #6 on: December 03, 2019, 08:44:33 PM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on December 03, 2019, 07:09:58 AM
Look at those AA+Latino numbers for Pete!!  👀👊

Similarly interesting is that Harris/Booker/Patrick all get a combined ~15% of the AA vote. Should be interesting to see where that significant chunk of support moves to as those candidates make their way out of the race, or if Booker/Patrick can capitalize on Harris' exit.
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Mr. Illini
liberty142
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« Reply #7 on: December 07, 2019, 10:51:09 AM »
Very interesting cross tabs. Pete relatively strong and Warren weak among black and latino voters. Warren slightly stronger among men than women and Bernie the opposite. A mess in non-metro Northern IL. Pete strong with younger voters.

Not surprising that Biden is so strong with black voters and Warren is strong in the Collars and in Chicago.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #8 on: December 07, 2019, 12:33:26 PM »
This poll doesnt account for the domino effect. If Bernie does well in Cal, MN, ME, NV, IA and NH, he can win IL and MI
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