Harvard/Harris nat. poll: Biden 29 Sanders 16 Warren 13 Buttigieg 8 Bloomberg 7

[Mr. Morden]

Harvard/Harris national poll, conducted Nov. 27-29 (so over Thanksgiving?):

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/472811-poll-biden-maintains-national-lead

Biden 29%
Sanders 16%
Warren 13%
Buttigieg 8%
Bloomberg 7%

They haven’t yet released the full results, so all we have so far is the #s for the top 5.

[Cassandra]

Seems suspiciously high for Bloomberg.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Warren continues her Harris like downfall

[Eraserhead]

These numbers came out days ago, suprised nobody posted them here.

[Cinemark]

These numbers came out days ago, scurried nobody posted them here.

Honestly, the iffy national trackers are getting the amount of attention they deserve in my opinion. Harris X, Morning Consult, YouGov and Ipsos all leave much to be desired in terms of apparent quality.

Edit: Thats just my two cents though. I don't want to put down any pollsters, but I'd argue Live caller and even IVR polling tend to post more trustworthy numbers.

[Eraserhead]

These numbers came out days ago, suprised nobody posted them here.

Honestly, the iffy national trackers are getting the amount of attention they deserve in my opinion. Harris X, Morning Consult, YouGov and Ipsos all leave much to be desired in terms of apparent quality.

Edit: Thats just my two cents though. I don't want to put down any pollsters, but I'd argue Live caller and even IVR polling tend to post more trustworthy numbers.

This isn't HarrisX or a tracking poll though.

[Cinemark]

These numbers came out days ago, suprised nobody posted them here.

Honestly, the iffy national trackers are getting the amount of attention they deserve in my opinion. Harris X, Morning Consult, YouGov and Ipsos all leave much to be desired in terms of apparent quality.

Edit: Thats just my two cents though. I don't want to put down any pollsters, but I'd argue Live caller and even IVR polling tend to post more trustworthy numbers.

This isn't HarrisX or a tracking poll though.

I know that Harvard/Harris and Harris X are different pollsters. I was just saying that these weekly online polls don't seem to be great quality and its not surprising posters don't see the need to post them.

Edit: But, I'm not someone who should be telling people which data points are better than others. Thats for the experts to do.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

How you gonna poll Wed. - Fri. on the week of Thanksgiving? 

JUNK IT.

[Podgy the Bear]

I just don't see how Bloomberg is getting 7%.  He must have paid off a lot of people to answer in this poll.

[Eraserhead]

I just don't see how Bloomberg is getting 7%.  He must have paid off a lot of people to answer in this poll.

The dude spent an insane amount of money on advertisements over Thanksgiving weekend.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I just don't see how Bloomberg is getting 7%.  He must have paid off a lot of people to answer in this poll.

The dude spent an insane amount of money on advertisements over Thanksgiving weekend.

Give up trying to lay it out for these impecunious teens, EH.  To acknowledge that Bloomberg gained ground with his disgusting ad buy would vindicate Dear Bernard and his assertion all along that billionaires have been able (and continue!) to buy elections.  And we can't have that!   

[SN2903]

Bloomberg will be the nominee

[Sorenroy]

Sample size of 756 registered voters, conducted November 27th to 29th. Change is from their previous poll conducted one month ago.

Biden — 29% (-4%)
Sanders — 16% (-2%)
Warren — 13% (-2%)
Buttigieg — 8% (+4%)
Bloomberg — 7% (-)
Harris — 5% (±0)
Yang — 3% (+1%)
Klobuchar — 2% (-1%)
Steyer — 2% (+1%)
Gravel — 1% (+1%)
Booker — 1% (-2%)
Gabbard — 1% (+1%)
Delaney — 1% (+1%)
Swalwell — 1% (+1%)
Castro — 0% (±0)
Gillibrand — 0% (-1%)
Messam — 0% (±0)
Williamson — 0% (-1%)
Ryan — 0% (±0)


Additionally, they also asked the following: " Suppose Hillary Clinton and John Kerry decides to enter the race, who would you support as a candidate for President?" Since last months hypothetical also included Bloomberg, there are change numbers for him as well.

Clinton — 21% (+3%)
Biden — 20% (+1%)
Sanders — 12% (±0)
Warren — 9% (-4%)
Buttigieg — 5% (+3%)
Kerry — 5% (-3%)
Bloomberg — 4% (-2%)
Harris — 2% (-1%)
Klobuchar — 2% (+1%)
Steyer — 2% (+1%)
Yang — 2% (±0)
Booker — 1% (-2%)
Gabbard — 1% (+1%)
O'Rourke — 1% (-1%)
Gravel — 1% (+1%)
Delaney — 1% (+1%)
Castro — 1% (+1%)
Messam — 0% (±0)
Swalwell — 0% (±0)
Williamson — 0% (±0)
Gillibrand — 0% (±0)


https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/HHP_November2019_Topline_RegisteredVoters.pdf

[Mr. Morden]

As usual, this pollster is very confused about who’s running, including such candidates as Swalwell and Gillibrand(!).  Anyway, crosstabs:

pdf link

white:
Biden 27%
Sanders 13%
Warren 13%
Buttigieg 11%

black:
Biden 38%
Sanders 22%
Warren 9%
Harris 7%

Hispanic:
Biden 27%
Sanders 20%
Warren 14%
Bloomberg 8%

fav/unfav %
Sanders 45/44% for +1%
Biden 44/44% for +/-0
Buttigieg 32/32% for +/-0
Bloomberg 32/38% for -6%
Warren 35/46% for -11%
Trump 42/54% for -12%