Demographics of Democrats who aren’t black, hispanic, or Muslim (user search)
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  Demographics of Democrats who aren’t black, hispanic, or Muslim (search mode)
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Author Topic: Demographics of Democrats who aren’t black, hispanic, or Muslim  (Read 794 times)
Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,321


« on: December 03, 2019, 03:49:12 PM »

What white, non-hispanic, non-Muslim demographics tend to vote Democratic?

I think a couple earlier posters missed the bolded part of OP's post. Anyway, compared to Republicans, these Democrats are more likely to be/have:

*Liberal (and not conservative)
*Gay
*Not Christian
*Unmarried
*College education
*Graduate education
*Under 30
*Union membership
*Live in an urban core area
*Live in a major metro area
*Not live in a rural area
*Not live in the South
*Not be a veteran

For white voters only, I'm curious about the relationship between income and partisanship. The overall trend is for higher income to make one more Republican, and higher education to make one more Democratic, but I'm curious how this plays out among white voters only.
My instinct is that very poor and very rich whites tend to vote Democratic and those in the middle tend to vote Republican, in aggregate.

I'm not sure this is true of poor whites anymore, at least controlling for age (if not controlling for age, poor whites are probably fairly Democratic, but only because incomes and assets are lower in your 20s than in your 50s).

Defining "very rich" is tough, too. If we're defining it as the top 10% or so of incomes (i.e., low six figures), probably those voters are fairly Democratic. If we're defining it as, say, the top 0.01% of incomes (where you're getting into well into seven-figure annual incomes), that group is probably still very Republican, even if less Republican than it used to be. And then there's a clear sliding scale between the two groups.
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Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,321


« Reply #1 on: December 09, 2019, 11:13:45 PM »

What white, non-hispanic, non-Muslim demographics tend to vote Democratic?

I think a couple earlier posters missed the bolded part of OP's post. Anyway, compared to Republicans, these Democrats are more likely to be/have:

*Liberal (and not conservative)
*Gay
*Not Christian
*Unmarried
*College education
*Graduate education
*Under 30
*Union membership
*Live in an urban core area
*Live in a major metro area
*Not live in a rural area
*Not live in the South
*Not be a veteran

For white voters only, I'm curious about the relationship between income and partisanship. The overall trend is for higher income to make one more Republican, and higher education to make one more Democratic, but I'm curious how this plays out among white voters only.
My instinct is that very poor and very rich whites tend to vote Democratic and those in the middle tend to vote Republican, in aggregate.

I'm not sure this is true of poor whites anymore, at least controlling for age (if not controlling for age, poor whites are probably fairly Democratic, but only because incomes and assets are lower in your 20s than in your 50s).

Defining "very rich" is tough, too. If we're defining it as the top 10% or so of incomes (i.e., low six figures), probably those voters are fairly Democratic. If we're defining it as, say, the top 0.01% of incomes (where you're getting into well into seven-figure annual incomes), that group is probably still very Republican, even if less Republican than it used to be. And then there's a clear sliding scale between the two groups.

How about the very top?  What can we say about the R/D split among US citizens on the Forbes list, at least based on public endorsements and donation records?  My guess is it's no more than a 60R/40D split and may be closer than that.  I think it's entirely plausible Hillary Clinton won the Forbes list vote. 

Absolutely no chance Clinton won the Forbes list vote or even came particularly. Read past the top few names and you'll quickly see why.
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