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February 24, 2020, 06:15:49 am
News: 2020 U.S. Senate Predictions are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  Will there be any Democratic senators left representing... (search mode)
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Poll
Question: The old Confederacy, sans Virginia?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 50

Author Topic: Will there be any Democratic senators left representing...  (Read 1185 times)
Oregon Blue Dog
meepcheese16
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« on: December 08, 2019, 01:12:47 pm »

Going to say yes because...

NC has about a 35% chance of flipping

Both GA seats have about a 35% chance of flipping (could be higher or lower pending the candidate)

TX has about a 15% chance of flipping

AL has about a 5% chance of NOT flipping

In terms of probability, it seems likely (a 78% chance) that at least one of these will flip (though I admit this is a bit of a flawed approach to this problem).
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