Lean R. Why do so many people think a district (also the state as a whole) where Trump is overwhelmingly likely to improve his margin is more likely to vote for a Democrat in the House who won by <1% in a wave midterm? Apparently all a district needs for a Democrat to win are suburbs that "are zooming to the left"?
It literally split its ticket for a Democrat while Romney was crushing by 40% in 2012, just how much do you think Trump’s going to improve his margin by (and it’s not even a guarantee that he will)? Mia Love actually underperformed Trump’s margin in 2016 (albeit with a much better topline performance). While it only narrowly flipped Dem in a Dem wave, it also only narrowly flipped Republican in a Republican wave.
This district is a serious contender for being the least connected to national environment in 2020 if its past is any indicator.
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