Tilt or Lean D (voted Lean D). This one won’t be as easy for Republicans as conventional wisdom might suggest, and Trump isn’t going to do particularly well here anyway. This is a district that’s only going to become less favorable to Republicans going forward.
Pretty much this. While this district will almost certainly vote for Trump again next year, I suspect that it will be by an underwhelming margin. Moreover, Salt Lake County, as has been pointed out on here, is becoming more Democratic, and this district will become more unfriendly to Republicans down the road. Nevertheless, McAdams is by no means safe, and will have to fight to secure reelection. This seat, along with those of Horn, Cunningham, Torres-Small, and Golden, are among the most likely to flip back to Republicans even in the event of a Trump defeat nationwide.
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