Is Elizabeth Warrens campaign over? Can’t see how she recovers now. (user search)
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  Is Elizabeth Warrens campaign over? Can’t see how she recovers now. (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Is Elizabeth Warrens campaign over?
#1
Yes (she has no path to nomination but will fight on for momentum)
 
#2
Yes (she has lost and she has no chance to comeback)
 
#3
No (she still can win the nomination)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 100

Author Topic: Is Elizabeth Warrens campaign over? Can’t see how she recovers now.  (Read 1869 times)
Pollster
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Posts: 3,760


« on: December 11, 2019, 03:57:11 PM »

Buttigieg timed his paid media blitz to directly coincide with the debate, a 1-2 punch the Warren campaign was not ready for.

Sanders smartly timed the AOC endorsement with the debate, probably assuming Warren would take the hardest hits and that it would be the ideal time to take back progressive votes.

Warren; however, is largely the same candidate now as she was before that debate. She remains the only candidate in the race who has organically and steadily grown her support rather than using manufactured moments to create polling surges. When a campaign creates a polling surge, they must identify these new supporters and create a relationship with them to keep the support. Kamala Harris notably failed to do this. Warren approached the campaign from the reverse: she created the relationships first, and brought on the moments after, to reinforce the relationships rather than to create them.

These relationships still exist. Warren remains a candidate for which there is still a lot of genuine affection. It is telling that even as she has slipped and underwent multiple tough media cycles, she is still squarely in the top tier and still within the MOE of leading in multiple important states. Her on the ground organization is still powerful and run by - as I'm told - some of the most devoted and invested volunteers in generations. She has proven her ability to recover from negative cycles and revitalize herself before.

Buttigieg's polling high appears to have peaked and is showing some signs of recession. Warren's campaign is heading into probably its most critical stretch now - time to see if the time spent creating those relationships and cultivating that ground game can pay dividends.
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Pollster
YaBB God
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Posts: 3,760


« Reply #1 on: December 12, 2019, 12:40:06 AM »

She needed a major Latino or AA endorsement,  she got none

Breaking my policy of never engaging with your nonsense to point out that this is not correct.
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