UK General Election 2019 - Election Day and Results Thread

[Middle-aged Europe]

Well.... it finally happened with Corbyn what people predicted would happened last time around. In 2017 he got lucky.

[Mike88]

Boris Johnson could also surpass John Major' 1992 record vote total of 14,093,007 in this election.

[DistingFlyer]

If the actual counts bear this out, it does indeed look as though British voting patterns are moving closer towards those of the US & Canada - a stronger urban/rural divide, with wealthy urban & suburban areas going left while blue-collar areas go right.

Certainly Sedgefield & Bolsover voting Tory while Kensington & London go Labour more closely resembles American (post-1990s) & Canadian (post-1950s) results than British ones of the last hundred years.

[SPQR]

If the actual counts bear this out, it does indeed look as though British voting patterns are moving closer towards those of the US & Canada - a stronger urban/rural divide, with wealthy urban & suburban areas going left while blue-collar areas go right.

Certainly Sedgefield & Bolsover voting Tory while Kensington & London go Labour more closely resembles American (post-1990s) & Canadian (post-1950s) results than British ones of the last hundred years.

Same in Italy btw

[OSR stands with Israel]

If the actual counts bear this out, it does indeed look as though British voting patterns are moving closer towards those of the US & Canada - a stronger urban/rural divide, with wealthy urban & suburban areas going left while blue-collar areas go right.

Certainly Sedgefield & Bolsover voting Tory while Kensington & London go Labour more closely resembles American (post-1990s) & Canadian (post-1950s) results than British ones of the last hundred years.

It seems like Canada is more regional still than anything else, with Conservatives dominating out West but Libs dominating in Ontario and the Atlantic while Quebec being more like Scotland.

[Silent Hunter]

Possibly. More likely it's Labour voters being so put off by Corbyn they are voting Conservative.  The working class Labour voter can be pretty right wing on some issues such as crime and foreign policy.

Also, be interesting to see what happens in Dagenham and Rainham; the rather young Tory leader of Havering Council is up against Labour Leaver Jon Cruddas. That could be close.

[Paleobrazilian]

If the actual counts bear this out, it does indeed look as though British voting patterns are moving closer towards those of the US & Canada - a stronger urban/rural divide, with wealthy urban & suburban areas going left while blue-collar areas go right.

Certainly Sedgefield & Bolsover voting Tory while Kensington & London go Labour more closely resembles American (post-1990s) & Canadian (post-1950s) results than British ones of the last hundred years.

It's still to early to assume it'll be a long term trend. If Boris presses forward DC's plan of cutting down the number of constituencies to 600 the electoral map will change significantly in favor of the Conservative Party.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

It looks very much like the landslide 2017 was going to be. Outside London, I suspect we're looking at a 1920s/30s style Conservative landslide - different areas holding out, of course, but this is a very different world. This was always a possibility: Johnson is not popular, but Corbyn has been for several years the most detested politician in the country.

But as to the future: beware! The British electorate is now extremely volatile and the issues that the next election will be fought over will not be the same as this. Or if they are, they will themselves have changed along the way. And the electorate will respond differently.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

If the actual counts bear this out, it does indeed look as though British voting patterns are moving closer towards those of the US & Canada - a stronger urban/rural divide, with wealthy urban & suburban areas going left while blue-collar areas go right.

Certainly Sedgefield & Bolsover voting Tory while Kensington & London go Labour more closely resembles American (post-1990s) & Canadian (post-1950s) results than British ones of the last hundred years.

The issue is that the UK Center Left vote is split, whereas the right wing vote is unified. In this analogy, this election is like the USA's 2016 election, and in the next election, the Home Counties all flip center-left while Labour continues to crater in the North. This means Labour has to go back to the Blair (or at least Milliband) days with the Lib Dems cratering so as to win in places like Surrey and Southwest London, or some Lab-Lib agreement has to be worked out. Regardless, Labour cannot count on economic leftism coupled with wavering on other issues to carry them forward in the future.

[Badger]

If the actual counts bear this out, it does indeed look as though British voting patterns are moving closer towards those of the US & Canada - a stronger urban/rural divide, with wealthy urban & suburban areas going left while blue-collar areas go right.

Certainly Sedgefield & Bolsover voting Tory while Kensington & London go Labour more closely resembles American (post-1990s) & Canadian (post-1950s) results than British ones of the last hundred years.

It seems like Canada is more regional still than anything else, with Conservatives dominating out West but Libs dominating in Ontario and the Atlantic while Quebec being more like Scotland.

Though the SNP generally Lacks the Bloc quebecois racist streak

[rob in cal]

If national numbers end up around 44-32, then this isn't really that surprising in that it is somewhere around the higher range of expected margin, with several polls predicting something like that or close to it.

[The Free North]

Not much change in Newcastle Central

Tories on 9k there last election

[Silent Hunter]

Labour hold Newcastle Central.

[Clyde1998]

Newcastle Central
Lab - 21,568 - 57.55%
Con - 9,290 - 24.79%
Lib - 2,709 - 7.23%
Brx - 2,542 - 6.78%
Grn - 1,365 - 3.64%

Swing - 3.75% from Lab to Con

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

So the Newcastle won.

[DistingFlyer]

If the actual counts bear this out, it does indeed look as though British voting patterns are moving closer towards those of the US & Canada - a stronger urban/rural divide, with wealthy urban & suburban areas going left while blue-collar areas go right.

Certainly Sedgefield & Bolsover voting Tory while Kensington & London go Labour more closely resembles American (post-1990s) & Canadian (post-1950s) results than British ones of the last hundred years.

It seems like Canada is more regional still than anything else, with Conservatives dominating out West but Libs dominating in Ontario and the Atlantic while Quebec being more like Scotland.

That's true too; Prairie cities still go Tory, but plush ridings in other big urban areas in the West, East & Quebec - think Quadra, Mount Royal, Rosedale and so forth - have been strongly Liberal for a long time. Put it another way: the 'old money' areas are Liberal, while the 'new money' places are Conservative.

[jaichind]

CON not gaining that much but BXP eating into LAB vote.

[Clyde1998]

Houghton and Sunderland South - Lab HOLD - 10.96% swing from Lab to Con

[The Free North]

Labour down 9k votes in Sunderland from 2017. Looks to be largely from Brexit voters not to the Tories.

[LaserCabbage]

Houghton & Sunderland South: LAB wins but down 18.7%. BBC said it's "in line with the exit poll."

[Beezer]

Blyth picked up by Tories.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Blyth Valley flips.

[Pericles]

11% swing to the Tories in Houghton and Sunderland South (still a 3,115 majority, but very worrying for other seats).

[Silent Hunter]

Blyth picked up by Tories.

Not exactly with a big majority, but still that's a big loss for Labour.

[The Free North]

Holy ****