UK General Election 2019 - Election Day and Results Thread

[jaichind]

https://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/politics/british/group_b.6b9db4dc-d1df-4c9d-b9ab-c9a136a91f1e/uk-general-election-seats-markets

Currently has it at

CON     338
LAB      224
LDEM     20
SNP       42
PC           4

CON seat share seems to be dropping since polls opened

[jaichind]

https://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/politics/british/group_b.6b9db4dc-d1df-4c9d-b9ab-c9a136a91f1e/uk-general-election-seats-markets

Sporting Index

CON     346
LAB      221
LDEM     18
SNP       42
PC           4

CON gained a few seats from LAB and LDEM since earlier in the day

[jaichind]

Skynews taking a break most likely for the panelist to be shown the exit poll results

[jaichind]

Excellent. Get Brexit done

[jaichind]

Wow ... SNP at 55 ??

[jaichind]

If true will Corbyn be out ?

[jaichind]

GBP up 1.9% on exit poll news

[jaichind]

Wow.  The CON sweep in England and Wales must be massive if they got to 368 AND got wiped out in Scotland.

[jaichind]

OTH is 22 -> OTH is 4 in GB.  Will that be PC 3 and and Speaker 1 ?

[jaichind]

I am getting really excited.  I am pretty much going to stay up all night just to watch LAB fall below 200 seats.

[jaichind]

https://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/politics/british/group_b.6b9db4dc-d1df-4c9d-b9ab-c9a136a91f1e/uk-general-election-seats-markets

Sporting Index has

CON    364
LAB     193
SNP      53
LDEM    15.5
PC          3.5

Mostly accepting the exit poll

[jaichind]

RIP Jeremy Corbyn. I wouldn't have voted for Tories, but Corbyn defeat his great news.

And the Lib Dems has 13 seats so Labour returning to New Labour won't happen.

Well, Blair did warn LAB that accepting an election would be a mistake

[jaichind]

Watching  Bercow's face on exit polls is priceless

[jaichind]

Where are you all seeing the exit poll details on a constituency level ?

[jaichind]

Skynews say CON 46% LAB 32%

[jaichind]

Maybe Corbyn/LAB should have backed May's deal in retrospect.

[jaichind]

https://www.bbc.com/news/election-2019-50424263

Seat by seat for the exit poll

[jaichind]

Electoral Calculus revised estimated vote shares inferred from Exit poll: Con 44.5, Lab 32, Lib 12, with SNP near 50% in Scotland.

SNP at 50% sounds incredible 

[jaichind]

CON not gaining that much but BXP eating into LAB vote.

[jaichind]

Same pattern.  Small gains for CON but LAB losing a lot of LAB leave votes to BXP

[jaichind]

https://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/politics/british/group_b.6b9db4dc-d1df-4c9d-b9ab-c9a136a91f1e/uk-general-election-seats-markets

Sporting Index has now at

CON    369
LAB     192
SNP      52
LDEM    15.5
PC          3.5

CON surging past exit poll levels

[jaichind]

To me it is clear BXP ate into the LAB vote.  Mission accomplished for Nigal Farage.

[jaichind]

LAB loss in Newcastle upon Tyne East a lot less than Sunderland Central.  Main difference is BXP ran in Sunderland Central and not Newcastle upon Tyne East.  It is wrong to add the CON and BXP vote in the North and say that BXP cut into the CON vote.  The BXP cut into the LAB vote.

[jaichind]

Labour holds Sunderland Central and Newcastle upon Tyne East.

Interestingly in Sunderland Central: Conservative + Brexit is greater than Labour (15,372 + 5,047 v. 18,336).

Yeah, but I am sure if BXP does not run more of the BXP vote would flow back to LAB than CON.

[jaichind]

BBC has Middlesborough as LAB hold.

That is a fairly Remain seats.  Some independent (which I assume has a LAB background) ate into the LAB vote.