UK General Election 2019 - Election Day and Results Thread (user search)
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  UK General Election 2019 - Election Day and Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: UK General Election 2019 - Election Day and Results Thread  (Read 74517 times)
Paleobrazilian
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« on: December 12, 2019, 05:09:15 PM »
So who's getting axed tonight? Dennis Skinner is definitely gone I guess.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #1 on: December 12, 2019, 06:00:57 PM »
SEDGEFIELD is likely going blue tonight.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #2 on: December 12, 2019, 06:03:26 PM »

Oh I certainly hope so. Worst campaign I've ever seen.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #3 on: December 12, 2019, 06:26:36 PM »
Quote from: DistingFlyer on December 12, 2019, 06:22:25 PM
If the actual counts bear this out, it does indeed look as though British voting patterns are moving closer towards those of the US & Canada - a stronger urban/rural divide, with wealthy urban & suburban areas going left while blue-collar areas go right.

Certainly Sedgefield & Bolsover voting Tory while Kensington & London go Labour more closely resembles American (post-1990s) & Canadian (post-1950s) results than British ones of the last hundred years.

It's still to early to assume it'll be a long term trend. If Boris presses forward DC's plan of cutting down the number of constituencies to 600 the electoral map will change significantly in favor of the Conservative Party.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #4 on: December 12, 2019, 06:32:40 PM »

First Conservative gain of the evening.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #5 on: December 12, 2019, 06:37:42 PM »
Martin Baxter (from Electoral Calculus) says the Conservative may end the evening with a 100+ majority if the swings are anything close to the one at Blyth Valley.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #6 on: December 12, 2019, 08:12:07 PM »
Quote from: DistingFlyer on December 12, 2019, 08:09:51 PM
First result from the Midlands: Nuneaton held by the Conservatives with a 9.4% swing towards them.

Slightly better than expected for the Conservatives.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #7 on: December 12, 2019, 08:23:46 PM »
Huge CON takeover at Workington.

First shadow cabinet decapitation I guess.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #8 on: December 12, 2019, 08:26:41 PM »
Quote from: Silent Hunter on December 12, 2019, 08:25:27 PM
Labour had held that seat continuously with one exception since 1918.

The only exception was a by-election in 1976. Huge CON win.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #9 on: December 12, 2019, 08:34:15 PM »
Quote from: jeron on December 12, 2019, 08:32:54 PM
Quote from: Clyde1998 on December 12, 2019, 08:15:14 PM
SNP gain Rutherglen & Hamilton West from Labour

Tories down 5%. If this is the trend they will lose most seats in Scotland.

Could be the unionist tactical vote.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #10 on: December 12, 2019, 08:54:49 PM »
Early Welsh results better than expected for CON according to Martin Baxter. 100 seat majority in play.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #11 on: December 12, 2019, 09:02:34 PM »

Wow this one had NEVER been held by the Conservatives.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #12 on: December 12, 2019, 09:08:35 PM »
CON just took the lead on the popular vote for the 1st time tonight.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #13 on: December 12, 2019, 09:21:25 PM »
Jo Swinson is about to be unseated. Best moment of the night coming soon.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #14 on: December 12, 2019, 09:25:16 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on December 12, 2019, 09:22:23 PM


i guess only one of the Tories or brexit should have seriously contested here.

Yeah this should've been a CON gain. Shame on Farage.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #15 on: December 12, 2019, 09:31:24 PM »
CON already have more seats than LAB.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #16 on: December 13, 2019, 04:32:48 AM »
Quote from: DistingFlyer on December 13, 2019, 02:54:27 AM
The Conservative vote in Wales rose to 36.1% - its highest level since 1895.

Remember, Wales voted out in 2016.
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