NM-Emerson: Sanders +18, Buttigieg +10, Biden/Warren +8
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  NM-Emerson: Sanders +18, Buttigieg +10, Biden/Warren +8		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: NM-Emerson: Sanders +18, Buttigieg +10, Biden/Warren +8  (Read 1629 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: January 06, 2020, 07:17:58 PM »
New Mexico: Emerson, Jan. 3-6, 967 RV

Trump approval 39
Disapprove 54

Sanders 59, Trump 41
Buttigieg 55, Trump 45
Biden 54, Trump 46
Warren 54, Trump 46
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Queen Isuelt
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« Reply #1 on: January 06, 2020, 07:31:35 PM »
Strange they poll here when a primary is in June.
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redjohn
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« Reply #2 on: January 06, 2020, 07:31:45 PM »
Sanders is the strongest candidate nationwide, and it's not even close.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #3 on: January 06, 2020, 07:34:31 PM »
Quote from: redjohn on January 06, 2020, 07:31:45 PM
Sanders is the strongest candidate nationwide, and it's not even close.

Not what majority of polling suggests.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: January 06, 2020, 07:34:51 PM »
Bernie is leading the most in NM😎
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #5 on: January 06, 2020, 08:08:12 PM »
Safe D for sure, but I think a popular incumbent Donald Trump could have made it at least somewhat interesting. Probably more so than CO/VA.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #6 on: January 06, 2020, 08:08:32 PM »
Emerson isn't the greatest, but Brad Parscale is an idiot for even thinking New Mexico is remotely competitive.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #7 on: January 06, 2020, 10:25:45 PM »
The order here is the most interesting part.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: January 06, 2020, 10:51:51 PM »
Dems will win NM by 8 percent  like last time
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Joe McCarthy Was Right
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« Reply #9 on: January 06, 2020, 11:21:33 PM »
Sanders is strong for a Democrat in New Mexico but weak in Arizona. I don't really get that.
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Libertas Vel Mors
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« Reply #10 on: January 07, 2020, 01:01:15 AM »
Quote from: Joe McCarthy Was Right on January 06, 2020, 11:21:33 PM
Sanders is strong for a Democrat in New Mexico but weak in Arizona. I don't really get that.

NM politics is defined by Hispanics, Arizona politics by white suburbanites
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Xing
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« Reply #11 on: January 07, 2020, 01:08:11 AM »
Safe D, next.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #12 on: January 07, 2020, 03:02:57 AM »
Safe D.

Am I mistaken, or could any Dem actually get close to 60% in NM?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: January 07, 2020, 04:48:30 AM »
Quote from: Joe McCarthy Was Right on January 06, 2020, 11:21:33 PM
Sanders is strong for a Democrat in New Mexico but weak in Arizona. I don't really get that.

AZ is an R state
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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« Reply #14 on: January 07, 2020, 04:57:40 AM »
New Mexico is a blue state now. No longer swing/tilt D.
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Skye
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« Reply #15 on: January 07, 2020, 05:41:21 AM »
That Sanders is the top performer by a wide margin comes as a bit of a surprise. Then again, it is Emerson...
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: January 07, 2020, 08:02:40 AM »
« Edited: January 07, 2020, 08:08:47 AM by Cory Booker »
Quote from: Skye on January 07, 2020, 05:41:21 AM
That Sanders is the top performer by a wide margin comes as a bit of a surprise. Then again, it is Emerson...

Bernie is being assisted by Bloomberg ads, Biden isnt gonna blow Trump out the water, Bernie can duplicate a 278 EC map without Corruption, morso than Biden Ukraine
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #17 on: January 07, 2020, 08:17:46 AM »
Lol Biden +8, Sanders +18

Emerson what are you doing
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #18 on: January 07, 2020, 11:26:20 AM »
New Mexico is unique... but likely a double-digit loss for Trump in November. He cannot connect to Mexican-Americans who form a large part of the electorate in New Mexico... and who are not that far off from the American mainstream.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #19 on: January 07, 2020, 11:38:20 AM »
Quote from: Mr. Illini on January 07, 2020, 08:17:46 AM
Lol Biden +8, Sanders +18

Emerson what are you doing

Emerson is polling states that are necessary in carrying the 279 EC college; whereas, other pollsters were inflating Biden numbers in the red states like TX, due to Biden leads in the primaries. Dems will win NM by 8
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #20 on: January 07, 2020, 01:52:13 PM »
I'd like to see another 2020 poll -- meaning oen from 2020 -- against which to calibrate this.
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Politician
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« Reply #21 on: January 07, 2020, 05:35:55 PM »
Seems believable. NM is very poor and working-class and thus drawn to Bernie's message.
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LAKISYLVANIA
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« Reply #22 on: January 08, 2020, 07:14:54 AM »
I can believe it but not as extreme as this poll puts it, but Sanders does well among poorer classes and Hispanics, but anyway it doesn't matter as the state isn't competitive in 2020.
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