More Likely Super Tuesday Result
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  More Likely Super Tuesday Result
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Poll
Question: Which result is more likely?
#1
Warren wins Massachusetts
 
#2
Klobuchar wins Minnesota
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 47

Author Topic: More Likely Super Tuesday Result  (Read 308 times)
Progressive Pessimist
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« on: February 23, 2020, 07:48:04 PM »

Whose home state is more likely to vote for them?
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1 on: February 23, 2020, 08:09:43 PM »

Klobuchar winning Minnesota, by far. She's a lot more popular there than Warren is in Massachusetts, and her campaign seems to be doing better than Warren's.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: February 24, 2020, 10:24:47 AM »
« Edited: February 24, 2020, 10:38:25 AM by 2016 »

Super Tuesday Results (At This Point in time)
Vermont = Sanders
Virginia = Toss Up (even Clyburns Endorsement won't change that for Biden)
North Carolina = Toss Up (Ditto what I said in VA)
Alabama = Lean Biden?
Arkansas = Toss Up (Maybe Pryor & Lincoln endorsing Klob helps her, maybe not)
Massachusetts = Lean Warren
Maine = Tilt Sanders
Tennessee = Lean Biden?
Oklahoma = Pure Toss Up
Texas = Tilt Sanders
Colorado = Lean Sanders
Minnesota = Lean Klobuchar
Utah = Lean Sanders
California = Tilt Sanders

Sanders could win 5-6 States on Super Tuesday, maybe more.
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: February 24, 2020, 10:26:14 AM »

Klobuchar has actually led in recent polls of her homestate, unlike other members of field.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: February 24, 2020, 10:32:12 AM »

Klobuchar due to fact she is most liked and would be a viable candidate for Veep
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andjey
Junior Chimp
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Ukraine
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« Reply #5 on: February 24, 2020, 10:41:04 AM »

My current rating for ST states:

State: Rating (candidate most likely to win->2nd most likely to win->3rd most likely to win)

Alabama: Likely Biden (Biden->Bloomberg->Sanders)
Arkansas: Lean Biden (Biden->Bloomberg>Sanders)
California: Likely Sanders (Sanders->Biden->Bloomberg)
Colorado: Likely Sanders (Sanders->Warren->Biden)
Maine: Likely Sanders (Sanders->Warren->Biden)
Massachusetts: Tossup/Tilt Sanders (Sanders->Warren->Biden)
Minnesota: Likely Klobuchar (Klobuchar->Sanders->Warren)
North Carolina: Lean Biden (Biden->Bloomberg->Sanders)
Oklahoma: Pure Tossup (Sanders->Biden->Bloomberg)
Tennessee: Likely Biden (Biden->Bloomberg->Sanders)
Texas: Tossup/Tilt Sanders (Sanders->Biden->Bloomberg)
Utah: Likely Sanders (Sanders->Buttigieg->Biden)
Vermont: Safe Sanders (Sanders)
Virginia: Lean Biden (Biden->Bloomberg->Sanders)
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #6 on: February 24, 2020, 11:50:02 AM »

Klobuchar winning MN, though I don't think that's at all certain.
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