NJ-Sen: Menendez +3

[Soaring Eagle]

My guess is that the race will be a VERY close one up until election day when the people of New Jersey remember that they have elected Corzine and Lautenberg as well. Menendez will win, but this race will give Kean a good start at a career in a national office.

[Soaring Eagle]

...the race will be a VERY close one up until election day when the people of New Jersey remember that they have elected Corzine and Lautenberg as well.

And remembering that you are already represented by Corzine and Lautenberg makes you want to vote for another corrupt, NJ Dem machine hack like Menendez because?

Well, they got elected, didn't they? What I mean is that the people of New Jersey have had plenty of perfect opportunities to end the political careers of Corzine and Lautenberg. They could have voted for Doug Forrester in the 2002 Senate election and kept Lautenberg from returning to the Senate. Then last year, they could have voted Forrester for Governor and ended Corzine's career. The same thing will happen this year.

[Soaring Eagle]

The same thing will happen this year.

Oh the arrogance… not to mention the hypocrisy!

When Republicans like Burns are up for re-election the Dems are so keen to say that corruption and links to lobbyists will spell his doom (and well it might)… but when it comes to their own corrupt office holders like Menendez (and potentially for that matter Sherrod Brown in OH) it will some how not be a factor.

Lets not forget that Kean is not Forrester, there is no enthusiasm in NJ for the Democratic Party is just so happens that in a dirty race between two flawed candidates the one with more money and the partisan advantage of his state on his side won… in a Kean v Menendez fight, cash is unlikely to favour one over the other, folks have a far higher estimation of Kean than Menendez and in the end the only thing going for the Dems will be partisan advantage and I doubt it’ll be enough.         

Well, let me point out which party is in charge right now; the Republicans. No matter how corrupt some Democrats are (I say "some" because I'm almost certain there are more corrupt Republicans than Democrats), they aren't the ones in control, therefore all of these recent scandals are not really their fault. That is why I believe Menendez, as an incumbent Democrat, will win.

Also, the Republicans could attack Menendez (and Brown, if what you said is true) as the Democrats attack Burns, but they are in no position to do so.

[Soaring Eagle]

The same thing will happen this year.

Oh the arrogance… not to mention the hypocrisy!

When Republicans like Burns are up for re-election the Dems are so keen to say that corruption and links to lobbyists will spell his doom (and well it might)… but when it comes to their own corrupt office holders like Menendez (and potentially for that matter Sherrod Brown in OH) it will some how not be a factor.

Lets not forget that Kean is not Forrester, there is no enthusiasm in NJ for the Democratic Party is just so happens that in a dirty race between two flawed candidates the one with more money and the partisan advantage of his state on his side won… in a Kean v Menendez fight, cash is unlikely to favour one over the other, folks have a far higher estimation of Kean than Menendez and in the end the only thing going for the Dems will be partisan advantage and I doubt it’ll be enough.         

Well, let me point out which party is in charge right now; the Republicans. No matter how corrupt some Democrats are (I say "some" because I'm almost certain there are more corrupt Republicans than Democrats), they aren't the ones in control, therefore all of these recent scandals are not really their fault. That is why I believe Menendez, as an incumbent Democrat, will win.

Also, the Republicans could attack Menendez (and Brown, if what you said is true) as the Democrats attack Burns, but they are in no position to do so.

The Menendez scandal:

Kay Elizabeth LiCausi's questionable "Climb Up the Ladder "

Original NYT article mentioned above

Thank you very much for posting that. That article is a bit of an eye-opener. Someone rising up the hierarchy that fast is quite suspicious indeed...