CO-MSU - Hickenlooper +17

[Gass3268]

Hickenlooper (D): 48%
Gardner (R-inc): 31%

Source

[MT Treasurer]

Almost certainly several percentage points too D-friendly, but this also has Biden winning by 18. If Gardner is only outperforming Trump by 1, he’s (unsurprisingly) burnt toast.

[DaWN]

Guys I'm beginning to think Gardner might lose

[SnowLabrador]

I think the final margin will be more like 54-43, but Gardner's done.

[ON Progressive]

"Tossup" - Charlie Cook

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Still Likely D, but only because there's a slim chance that Hickenlooper doesn't clench the nomination.

[Gracile]

Where is that one poster who insists that this is a tossup because of what Cook/IE/Sabato says?

[Upstater]

Where is that one poster who insists that this is a tossup because of what Cook/IE/Sabato says?

Politico?

[krb08]

Still Likely D, but only because there's a slim chance that Hickenlooper doesn't clench the nomination.

If Hickenlooper doesn't win the nomination, Gardner will still lose and it won't be close. Not sure why people think Romanoff would blow the race. Colorado is a blue state.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Still Likely D, but only because there's a slim chance that Hickenlooper doesn't clench the nomination.

If Hickenlooper doesn't win the nomination, Gardner will still lose and it won't be close. Not sure why people think Romanoff would blow the race. Colorado is a blue state.

Romanoff would still be favoured (I'd have it down as Likely D to begin with) but he's never been poll-tested against Gardner, and the fundraisers/DSCC might hang back as the DCCC did with Kara Eastman because their chosen moderate hero was rejected.

If there was a substantial but conceivable shift to the Republicans at the presidential level by election day, if the above speculation came to pass, and if Romanoff turned out to be a bad fit (perhaps painted as "too extreme" by local Republicans), perhaps Gardner could eke out a narrow victory. I really doubt it, but just wouldn't mark this race down as safe D until I saw a couple of polls suggesting that Romanoff was on solid ground.

[Xing]

(If Romanoff somehow wins, this would still be true, but Hickenlooper will win the primary.)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Good, see you later Gardner

[S019]

Gardner could honestly be Blanched at this point

Safe D----->Safe D

[Roblox]

Hmmm…..So perhaps tilt D?

[Sir Mohamed]

Ladies and Gentlemen, may I present to you the Class II Senator from CO:

[Roll Roons]

I wonder if both sides end up triaging this one.

[Skill and Chance]

I wonder if both sides end up triaging this one.

Blanche Lincoln says hi.

[DaWN]

It's hilarious how a look at the Twitter shows the general pundit reaction to this poll - "It must be wrong, it's impossible calling this race a tossup for a year and a half when it blatantly wasn't was in a fact stupid thing to do!"

[here2view]

This is Safe D whether or not Hickenlooper wins the nomination. The Democrats could nominate a literal mule and it'd have a decent chance.

Gardner will have to outrun Trump by about 10 points and that isn't happening.

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Colorado Senator by Montana State University on 2020-04-16

Summary: D: 48%, R: 31%, U: 17%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details