CA Field Poll: Bush Approval 39%

[California Dreamer]

Yet another poll showing a low point for Bush, California's Field poll has him at 39% approval, and a whopping 54% dissaproval.
57% of Californians say we are on the wrong track...you have to go back to 1992 to see numbers that bad...who was president back then???

Here is a choice quote for those GOP faithful that are convinced by their 'secret sources' that California is in their column this year

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....so you think my alma mater is too liberal...OK how about Bill Whalen from the Hoover Institute (ultra conservative think tank)

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[California Dreamer]

if anyone is willing to bet real money that CA is going for Bush I will take that bet any day.

[California Dreamer]

you willing to put money on that?

name your amount. I would take any bet that Bush wont win CA especailly by 15%

[California Dreamer]

gambling is the ultimate 'equalizer'. A lot of people are willing to make these wild predictions...but when it comes to putting your money where you mouth is...it is a different story

I would bet anything that Kerry wins CA, and I would bet anything that Bush wins TX

right now many bookies are giving Kerry better than even money odds to win ( CLICK HERE ), I am considering making a real bet, with real money.

Another interesting way to track the 'value' of your candidate is the Iowa Electronic Market which is a futures market for each candidate combination ( Click Here )

Here is the latest graph for Kerry v Bush. This chart shows the price of a futures contract, the payoff is equal to the final popular vote.

[California Dreamer]

oops...oh...well I would take that bet too.  I dont think Kerry will beat Bush by 15....more like 9-11%