ME - Colby College: Gideon +3 | Golden +25

[wbrocks67]

Do they mention how second choices go?

They only did 2nd choices (not 3rd, 4th, etc.) and wasn't really instructive - second choice went Savage 37%, Linn 16%, Gideon 7%, Collins 7%

[wbrocks67]

Yeah, if Savage voters are picking Gideon 51% of the time compared to Collins 13%, Collins is cooked.

[wbrocks67]

Not good enough for Gideon. I guess ticket splitting in ME isn't completely dead. Out of the clearest path to 50 seats this one worries me most, including NC. Collins could very well survive, even though I have her as an underdog. She will definitely do better than Trump.

Golden is safe.

Gideon has never not led a public poll. Ticket splitting was always going to happen in Maine. We've consistently had RCV helping Gideon.

[wbrocks67]

I'm a little bit worried about Sara Gideon. I hope that Biden will be able to drag her over the line or that this poll is off lol.

Gideon has never not been leading in a single public poll. She's +5 here after RCV. Collins is stuck at 43. Collins is getting no crossover support in any poll.