A new Survey USA show Kerry up 4% in Michigan - Identical to their last survey
http://www.surveyusa.com/2004_Elections/MI040603president.pdfDistribution of Voters changed a bit from their last survey, with the current sample being about 4% higher in content with Democrats at the likely voter level.
Most of this is due to an increase in the % of Dems being deemed "likely" since at the registered level things were more or less the same.
Both candidates saw their own partys support drop, Bush by 6%, Kerry By 8
Kerry gained 7 among Independants (Small sample - not statistically valid)
This is the June 3rd Survey:
Likely Voters - Dems + 7.0%
GOP = 178/567 = 31.4%
DEM = 218/567 = 38.4%%
Other = 171/567 = 30.2%
Registered - Dems + 7.3%
GOP = 227/798 => 28.5%
DEM = 286/798 => 35.8%
Other = 284/798 => 33.2%
In the previous survey:
Likely - Dems + 2.6%
GOP = 167/536 = 31.2%
DEM = 181/536 = 33.8%
Other = 186/536 = 35%
Registered - Dems + 6.6%
GOP = 193/708 = 27.3%
DEM = 240/708 = 33.9%
OTHER = 275/708 = 38.8%
This Survey
Republicans 87/9 for Bush = +78 - Loss of 6
Democrats 80/9 for Kerry = +71 - Loss of 8
Independants 47/37 for Kerry = +10 for Kerry - gain of 7
Last Survey
Republicans - 89/6 = +83
Democrats - 86/7 for Kerry = +79
Independants - 44/41 Kerry +3
