2006 Dutch election
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Poll
Question: Who would you vote for?
#1
Christian Democratic Appeal		  
#2
Labour		  
#3
People's Party for Freedom and Democracy		  
#4
Socialists		  
#5
List Pim Fortuyn		  
#6
Green Left		  
#7
Democrats 66		  
#8
Christian Union		  
#9
Reformed Political Party		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 50

Author Topic: 2006 Dutch election  (Read 27576 times)
Tetro Kornbluth
Gully Foyle
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« Reply #50 on: November 22, 2006, 10:08:51 AM »
« edited: November 22, 2006, 10:25:54 AM by Gully Foyle »
Why are the "Party of the Animals" doing so well?

From the descriptions BRTD gave I would vote for Democrats 66.

EDIT: Damn Typos!
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freek
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« Reply #51 on: November 22, 2006, 10:16:06 AM »
« Edited: November 22, 2006, 10:22:05 AM by freek »
Quote from: Chief Justice Colin Wixted on November 22, 2006, 10:01:20 AM
Oh so the Netherlands is Open List PR I'm guessing? Interesting.

It is more or less open list PR. List order is followed unless candidates receive more than 1/600th of the total number of valid votes (for all parties). See this link for more information: http://www.electionresources.net/nl/

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My default party is VVD, but I didn't like their program this time and I dislike certain VVDmembers of the cabinet. Especially the minister for Immigration.
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freek
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« Reply #52 on: November 22, 2006, 10:21:01 AM »
Quote from: Gully Foyle on November 22, 2006, 10:08:51 AM
Why are the "Party of the Animals" doing so well?

A lot of media attention because of some famous Dutchmen (writers, actors, etc) are standing for the party (on the bottom of their list, it is just to show their support).

GreenLeft is becoming more and more a leftwing liberal party, and they are losing their focus on the environment.

There are a lot of chicken, pig and mink farms in the Netherlands. Now and then there are breakouts of diseases, and more and more people switch to organic meat (in contrast to the "bio industry" as it is called here)

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Democrats 66. Founded in 1966.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #53 on: November 22, 2006, 10:23:11 AM »
Which polling firm is the most accurate?
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freek
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« Reply #54 on: November 22, 2006, 10:28:41 AM »
My experience is that InterVIEW/NSS (Poltieke Barometer) is more accurate, the other 2 are internet based. InterVIEW/NSS calls people. Especially peil.nl showed huge fluctuations the last 2-3 years.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #55 on: November 22, 2006, 01:12:15 PM »
My vote: Green-Left
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #56 on: November 22, 2006, 02:40:08 PM »
Green Left or SP. Not D66 on account of their coalescing habits. Wink
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Harry Hayfield
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« Reply #57 on: November 22, 2006, 02:54:51 PM »
With the polls about to close in the Netherlands, I'm now watching EuroNews to report the exit poll. I have no idea what format for names they will use, so will post what I see on screen. I hope that someone more versed in the Dutch political scene will be able to tell me which parties are which!
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Harry Hayfield
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« Reply #58 on: November 22, 2006, 03:03:09 PM »
Electorate: 12 million

Oh, no exit poll. Suprise, I must say.
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WMS
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« Reply #59 on: November 22, 2006, 03:15:22 PM »
*cheers for CDA* Grin
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #60 on: November 22, 2006, 03:38:46 PM »
I think these are exit polls:

CDA 38, PvdA 34, SP 30, VVD 20

CDA 43, PvdA 35, SP 24, VVD 21
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CO-OWL
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« Reply #61 on: November 22, 2006, 03:44:03 PM »
Exit polls from NOS/RTL  (seats):

CDA   43/38 Smiley
PvdA   35/34
VVD   21/20
SP   24/30
GroenLinks   8/6
LVF   0/0
D66   2/2
ChristenUnie   5/7
SGP   2/2
PVV   6/8
Eén NL   1/1
PvdD   3/2


http://frontpage.fok.nl/nieuws/70711
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freek
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« Reply #62 on: November 22, 2006, 03:58:27 PM »
Quote from: OWL on November 22, 2006, 03:44:03 PM
Exit polls from NOS/RTL  (seats):

CDA   43/38 Smiley
PvdA   35/34
VVD   21/20
SP   24/30
GroenLinks   8/6
LVF   0/0
D66   2/2
ChristenUnie   5/7
SGP   2/2
PVV   6/8
Eén NL   1/1
PvdD   3/2


http://frontpage.fok.nl/nieuws/70711


CDA = christian democrats
PvdA = social democrats  "Labour"
VVD = rightwing liberals / conservatives
SP = populist socialist
GroenLinks = Greens
LVF = Fortuyn (not Loyalist Volunteer Front Grin )
D66 = leftwing liberal
ChristenUnie = Christian Democrats +  (pro-life, but left wing)
SGP = protestant fundamentalist
PVV (Wilders) = xenophobic, rightwing (not racist...)
EénNL = Fortuyn-style, in between PVV and VVD
PvdD = Animal rights
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freek
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« Reply #63 on: November 22, 2006, 04:02:47 PM »
prognosis after 11% counted (NOS):

CDA 41
PvdA 33
VVD 22
SP 25
Fortuyn 0
GL 7
D66 3
CU 7
SGP 2
PvdD 2
PVV 8
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freek
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« Reply #64 on: November 22, 2006, 04:14:36 PM »


Donner, my hero!
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afleitch
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« Reply #65 on: November 22, 2006, 04:59:07 PM »
75%  Counted

CDA 41
PvdA 33
VVD 22
SP 25
Fortuyn 0
GL 7
D66 3
CU 6
SGP 2
PvdD 2
PVV 9
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #66 on: November 22, 2006, 05:03:10 PM »

The Dutch electorate is quite volatile isn't it?
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Colin
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« Reply #67 on: November 22, 2006, 05:04:13 PM »
Quote from: afleitch on November 22, 2006, 04:59:07 PM
75%  Counted

CDA 41
PvdA 33
VVD 22
SP 25
Fortuyn 0
GL 7
D66 3
CU 6
SGP 2
PvdD 2
PVV 9

Well SP is doing well and little above pre-election polls. VVD is also holding its own but is pretty much where I thought it would be. CDA is a few seats lower and Wilder's Party did really well. 9 Seats, I had expected at most 5 seats.
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CO-OWL
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« Reply #68 on: November 22, 2006, 05:05:07 PM »
Quote from: freek on November 22, 2006, 04:02:47 PM
prognosis after 11% counted (NOS):

CDA 41
PvdA 33
VVD 22
SP 25
Fortuyn 0
GL 7
D66 3
CU 7
SGP 2
PvdD 2
PVV 8


If this holds, even CDA +PvdA have no majority.  So which coalitions are possible?
CDA+PvdA+VVD or CDA+PvdA+CU or CDA+VVD+small (center-right) parties or a minority government? Any realistic chances to build a majority without the CDA (I hope not!)?
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afleitch
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« Reply #69 on: November 22, 2006, 05:06:12 PM »

Wilders' party seems to have replaced the Fortuynists and added a seat to the tally at this rate. Talk about revolving doors Smiley
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Umengus
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« Reply #70 on: November 22, 2006, 05:11:27 PM »
I'm happy for Geert, the new pym Fortuyn. Polls underestimed him.
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afleitch
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« Reply #71 on: November 22, 2006, 05:15:54 PM »
83% in and no change.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #72 on: November 22, 2006, 05:17:06 PM »
Rotterdam:

PvdA 29.2%, SP 17.6%, CDA 14.4%, VVD 11.9%, PvdV 8.5%, GL 5%, D66 3.4%, EenNL 3.2%, CU 2.8%, SGP 0.6%

Maastricht:

PvdA 26.1%, CDA 21%, SP 20.9%, VVD 11.2%, PvdV 8.2%, GL 6.1%, D66 2.3%, PvdD 1.8%, CU 1.3%
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CO-OWL
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« Reply #73 on: November 22, 2006, 05:30:10 PM »
Some exit polls:
https://n38.noties.nl/peil.nl/ (Dutch)


And the results for the notorious municipality of Urk:
CDA, CU and SGP combined got 93.8% of the vote (down from 95.6% last time Wink)!
http://www.ad.nl/verkiezingen/uitslag/?id=098
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freek
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« Reply #74 on: November 22, 2006, 05:32:59 PM »
Quote from: OWL on November 22, 2006, 05:05:07 PM

If this holds, even CDA +PvdA have no majority.  So which coalitions are possible?
CDA+PvdA+VVD or CDA+PvdA+CU

Maybe. Or CDA+PvdA+SP

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Without a chance. Maybe with CU, but no majority there.

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Maybe PvdA/CDA or CDA/VVD minority, not that big a chance.

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The VVD prefers to go into opposition now I think.
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