Tsongas vs Bush vs Perot '92

[Michael Z]

Say Paul Tsongas wins the Dem. nomination in 1992 as opposed to Clinton. Who's his running mate? Does he beat Bush?

[Reignman]

Dunno who the running mate would be; no.

[True Democrat]

I'm going to go out on a limb and say Perot would win, assuming he never drops out:



264-203-71 (Bush-Perot-Tsongas)

The House would elect either Perot of Tsongas.

[Lincoln Republican]

Democrat nominee Paul Tsongas picks Florida Senator Bob Graham for Vice President.  This helps to improve the Tsongas vote in the south marginally, although not enough to win any southern states, with the notable exeption of the very big and important prize of Florida itself.

Tsongas campaigns on the need for change after 12 years of Republican administration, and capitalizes on Bush's flip flopping on taxes. 

Tsongas plays up the need for economic renewal in the nation, and promises to revitalize the economy and to cut unemployment.

Although a Democrat from Massachusetts, Tsongas plays up his more moderate image and voting record, which plays well in the midwest, without alienating his support in his home base of the northeast, which was solid for him. 

Perot wins a respectable percentage of the vote, but fails to win any states.

Bush cannot shake the tax issue, and goes down to defeat, with a desire for change in the nation.

Tsongas/Graham            333 EV  42% PV
Bush/Quayle                   205 EV  38% PV
Perot/Stockdale                  0 EV  20% PV