Senate Elections - 2004
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NHPolitico
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« Reply #150 on: January 13, 2004, 10:08:09 AM »

first daschle had one challenger ( thune) now he has another ( in the primary!) not that this guy has much of a chance, but still news.

Editor plans run as Democrat

National attention may be focused on a race between Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle and former Rep. John Thune, but both U.S. Senate candidates might have to clear primary hurdles to win their parties' nomination.

Tim Giago, an Oglala Lakota and editor/publisher of the Lakota Journal newspaper in Rapid City and the Pueblo Journal in Albuquerque, N.M., said Friday that he will seek the Democratic nomination against Daschle.

Last month, Lakota Media Inc., owner of both publications, was sold to the Flandreau Santee Sioux Tribe.

"My basic reason for running is that for the past 50 years, the Indian vote on the Indian reservations has been taken for granted in this state," said Giago, 69.

Daschle, 56, welcomed Giago to the political arena and spoke positively about him.

"I have known Tim for more than 20 years and have respect for him as a community leader and a businessman," Daschle said Friday. "I have applauded his efforts to encourage reconciliation in South Dakota."

Daschle said Giago was one of the leaders in encouraging the Gathering and Healing of Nations Conference sponsored by Daschle and Gov. Mike Rounds.

"Using my position in the Senate to continue working to improve the quality of life in Indian Country is one of the primary reasons that I am running for re-election," Daschle said in a statement.

Thune, 43, a Republican, announced Monday that he will challenge Daschle. But Bert Tollefson, a Watertown native who has been living in Arizona, said late last year that he will run in the Republican primary.

Tollefson, 73, also ran in the Republican House primary in 2002, getting 1 percent of the vote. He served as assistant to U.S. Agriculture Secretary Ezra Taft Benson in the Eisenhower administration, as assistant administrator for the U.S. Agency for International Development in the State Department and as U.S. Aid Mission director in Nairobi, Kenya.

If Giago and Tollefson get on the ballot, the Senate primaries would be June 1.

Giago said a recent speech by Rounds defined what he sees as a problem in the state.

"We have a mind-set to see one point of view," Giago said. "Governor Rounds said South Dakota has only 3 percent unemployment, but he totally disregarded the Indian reservations, with some having as high as 75 percent unemployment."

Daschle and Sen. Tim Johnson have taken the Native American vote for granted, he said.

"There are some things we can do together as people," Giago said, "and if I can talk about where we come from as a people, that is an important step."

Giago said he is not running just for the fun of it. He said he intends to beat Daschle and is prepared to debate him.

"Senator Daschle has lost a lot of luster in my mind," Giago said. "So many things could have been done to bring things to Rosebud and Pine Ridge (reservations). Why not economic development?"

He cited an unsuccessful effort in Kyle to build a mall.

"Harvey White Woman has been trying for years to get it. He has got the people interested, but he can't do a simple thing to get it built," Giago said. "They (the congressional delegation) have no good reason why it hasn't been built."

Giago said a letter he wrote challenging state government on reconciliation got the ball rolling on that venture of hope in the mid-1980s.

"Reconciliation died with (Gov.) George Mickelson," Giago said. "Getting reconciliation on track would again create an awareness of the problem and a discussion of solutions."

A Giago candidacy would be good for the state, said Leonard Eller of Flandreau, chairman of the Santee Sioux Tribe.

"Not only would he help Native Americans, he would help everyone," Eller said. "I don't know much about him politically, but he has a lot of experience dealing with the public, and that would be helpful."

Herbert Hoover, professor of history at the University of South Dakota, sees it differently.

"Nothing surprises me in what Tim Giago does. I think he realizes he doesn't have a chance in the primary. He is just trying to make a statement," Hoover said. "It is strange with all Daschle does for Native Americans. Giago can't win. A primary could give Daschle a chance to show what kind of clout he has."


If it lowers Indian turnout for Daschle in November, hoo-ray.
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jravnsbo
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« Reply #151 on: January 13, 2004, 02:03:08 PM »

well alive Indians may vvote less, but then the dead numbers will rise like last time.
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DarthKosh
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« Reply #152 on: January 13, 2004, 02:16:42 PM »

well alive Indians may vvote less, but then the dead numbers will rise like last time.
Ghost Dance.
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NHPolitico
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« Reply #153 on: January 14, 2004, 10:13:27 AM »

well alive Indians may vvote less, but then the dead numbers will rise like last time.

Are you saying the Dems use the obituaries as their voter checklist on Election Day?
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jravnsbo
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« Reply #154 on: January 14, 2004, 11:20:13 AM »

I'll just say as I have before it was HIGHLY suspicious in that one rez county and in registering people ( which criminal charges were brought).

well alive Indians may vvote less, but then the dead numbers will rise like last time.

Are you saying the Dems use the obituaries as their voter checklist on Election Day?
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jravnsbo
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« Reply #155 on: January 14, 2004, 03:21:31 PM »

Ex-S.C. Gov. Beasley Enters Senate Race    
46 minutes ago  


COLUMBIA, S.C. - Former Republican Gov. David Beasley, who fought to remove the Confederate flag from South Carolina's statehouse dome, announced Wednesday he is running for the U.S. Senate.


AP Photo
 
   

Beasley faces an already crowded GOP field in the race to replace retiring Democratic Sen. Ernest "Fritz" Hollings.


Other Republicans seeking the nomination include former state Attorney General Charlie Condon, U.S. Rep. Jim DeMint, Myrtle Beach Mayor Mark McBride and Charleston real estate developer Thomas Ravenel. The Democrats running are state Education Superintendent Inez Tenenbaum and Marcus Belk.


Beasley served one term as governor before losing to Democrat Jim Hodges in a 1998 election known for heavy spending from the video gambling industry that Beasley said he would outlaw.


Beasley, 46, also was battered by his stand to remove the Confederate flag that flew atop the Statehouse dome.


Since then, Beasley has taught at Harvard University, done missionary work and received a Profile in Courage Award from the John F. Kennedy Library and Museum for his work to move the Confederate flag.


The Confederate flag wasn't permanently removed from the Statehouse dome until July 2000, six months after the NAACP launched a boycott of the state. The flag is now flying at a monument to Confederate dead on the Capitol grounds.


Beasley said he had been weighing the decision carefully and considering how it will affect his family.




---so many good candidates in SC!
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Huckleberry Finn
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« Reply #156 on: January 14, 2004, 07:34:09 PM »

Arlen Specter and Howard Dean—Darlings of Big Labor

Press Release

Wednesday, November 12, 2003

ALLENTOWN—What do Democratic presidential front-runner Howard Dean (D-VT) and Republican Senator Arlen Specter (R-Philadelphia) have in common? Both liberals are being backed by Big Labor in their quests for political office in 2004.

The AFL-CIO’s two largest and most politically potent unions – the Service Employees International Union (SEIU) and the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) – have formally endorsed Dean, and they have contributed thousands of dollars to Specter’s campaign to help him stave off a powerful challenge from conservative Congressman Pat Toomey (R-Lehigh).

“For liberal Arlen Specter to share in common with Howard Dean the full-throated support of Big Labor indicates clearly that Congressman Pat Toomey is the better choice for Republicans who support the Bush agenda,” said Toomey campaign Spokesman Joe Sterns.

Specter has also received significant support from other labor unions’ political action committees this election cycle. Toomey, conversely, boasts the backing of the chairman of the National Federation of Independent Businesses (NFIB), Tom Musser, as well as the Club for the Growth.

I took this from Toomey's homepage. Is there any possibility that Arlen Specter could lose the primary? Pat Toomey seems to be VERY conservative. Could he win PA senat seat with that antilabour stuff?

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opebo
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« Reply #157 on: January 15, 2004, 12:46:31 PM »

I don't know whether Toomey could win the seat, but I bet he'd have a good chance.  He's about the same ideologically as Santorum.  I would consider it well worth the risk of losing the seat to the Democrats to run a real Republican there.  After all the majority is gauranteed by the Southern seats opening up, so we might as well get rid of the liberal Republicans like Specter if possible.
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jravnsbo
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« Reply #158 on: January 15, 2004, 04:05:34 PM »

Good labor is with Spector.  He is WAY ahead like 30 points on Toomey.  Plus a regional caucus also endorsed Spector, gop caucus that is.

Spector wins it easily.

If toomey wins, then tossup in general.


Arlen Specter and Howard Dean—Darlings of Big Labor

Press Release

Wednesday, November 12, 2003

ALLENTOWN—What do Democratic presidential front-runner Howard Dean (D-VT) and Republican Senator Arlen Specter (R-Philadelphia) have in common? Both liberals are being backed by Big Labor in their quests for political office in 2004.

The AFL-CIO’s two largest and most politically potent unions – the Service Employees International Union (SEIU) and the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) – have formally endorsed Dean, and they have contributed thousands of dollars to Specter’s campaign to help him stave off a powerful challenge from conservative Congressman Pat Toomey (R-Lehigh).

“For liberal Arlen Specter to share in common with Howard Dean the full-throated support of Big Labor indicates clearly that Congressman Pat Toomey is the better choice for Republicans who support the Bush agenda,” said Toomey campaign Spokesman Joe Sterns.

Specter has also received significant support from other labor unions’ political action committees this election cycle. Toomey, conversely, boasts the backing of the chairman of the National Federation of Independent Businesses (NFIB), Tom Musser, as well as the Club for the Growth.

I took this from Toomey's homepage. Is there any possibility that Arlen Specter could lose the primary? Pat Toomey seems to be VERY conservative. Could he win PA senat seat with that antilabour stuff?


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jravnsbo
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« Reply #159 on: January 15, 2004, 04:06:23 PM »

The WH and Santorum are both backing Spector.


I don't know whether Toomey could win the seat, but I bet he'd have a good chance.  He's about the same ideologically as Santorum.  I would consider it well worth the risk of losing the seat to the Democrats to run a real Republican there.  After all the majority is gauranteed by the Southern seats opening up, so we might as well get rid of the liberal Republicans like Specter if possible.
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jravnsbo
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« Reply #160 on: January 15, 2004, 05:18:15 PM »

Schwarzenegger to Back Jones for Senate    
SAN FRANCISCO - Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger (news - web sites) will endorse former California Secretary of State Bill Jones in his bid to challenge Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer, sources close to the governor said.

Jones, a 54-year-old Fresno farmer who spent more than two decades in public life before term limits forced him to step down in 2002, is the best-known candidate in a four-person field vying for the Republican nomination.


Other Republicans in the running are former U.S. Treasurer Rosario Marin, former Los Altos Hills Mayor Toni Casey and former Assemblyman Howard Kaloogian.

Jones lost the race for the GOP nomination for governor in 2002 and actively supported Schwarzenegger during the gubernatorial recall campaign that put the actor in office last fall. He also served on Schwarzenegger's transition team.

Boxer, a liberal Democrat seeking her third term, publicly opposed the recall.

Schwarzenegger has hinted he was likely to support Jones, but the timing of the endorsement, expected Friday, surprised some observers, who believed Schwarzenegger would only get involved in the final days before the March 2 primary, if at all.

"We're once again seeing Gov. Schwarzenegger being a different kind of governor by taking a position in a primary — and so shortly after he was elected himself," GOP consultant Arnold Steinberg said.






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jravnsbo
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« Reply #161 on: January 16, 2004, 12:57:27 PM »

good news, Harris NOT running in FL!


SARASOTA, Fla. - U.S. Rep. Katherine Harris, who gained international attention for her role in the 2000 presidential recount, will not enter the Republican primary for U.S. Senate, The Associated Press learned Friday.

Harris decided instead to run for re-election, according to a Republican source in Florida close to the situation, speaking on condition of anonymity.

She was scheduled to announce her decision later Friday at a news conference.


The source said Harris was making phone calls to supporters and friends to inform them of her decision.


As Florida secretary of state, Harris oversaw the disputed count that gave George W. Bush a crucial 537-vote victory over Al Gore (news - web sites) in Florida. President Bush (news - web sites)'s political advisers have feared her candidacy would refresh memories of the recount, generating a large turnout from angry Democrats and hurting his chances of carrying the state. Florida's 27 electoral votes are expected to be crucial in the 2004 presidential contest.


Harris has said she's been encouraged to seek retiring Democratic Sen. Bob Graham's seat, buoyed by favorable polls showing her as the early front-runner. A poll released last month by The Miami Herald and St. Petersburg Times found that Harris had the support of 29 percent of GOP voters, followed by former U.S. Rep. Bill McCollum with 15 percent, and former U.S. Housing Secretary Mel Martinez with 11 percent. Thirty-eight percent were undecided. The telephone survey of 800 registered voters had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.


Harris has long flirted with a Senate campaign. In July, she likened her chances of getting into the race to three bodies in the solar system aligning in a straight line — a rare astrological phenomenon.


But when Graham announced in November he would not seek re-election, Harris called it a "blip on the radar screen" and reconsidered the campaign.


As the state's chief elections officer, Harris presided over the re-count during the closest election in Florida history, drawing the ire of Democrats nationally and parodies on late night television shows.


Harris said all along that she simply followed the letter of the law, but she became a darling of Republican activists afterward and was elected last year to Congress.


Her fame helped her amass nearly $3 million for her 2002 congressional campaign. Through the end of the September fund-raising period, she had nearly $350,000 on hand, funds that could be transferred to a Senate race.


Democrats have expressed hope that Harris would enter the race, arguing it would enhance fund-raising and focus more attention on the campaign.


"The race won't be the subject of Jay Leno and David Letterman. But I don't think that's going to change one way or the other what we are going to do," said Jeff Garcia, campaign manager for Democratic Senate candidate Betty Castor.


Castor, a former state Education Commissioner from Tampa, is running against U.S. Rep. Peter Deutsch of Lauderhill and Miami-Dade County Mayor Alex Penelas for the Democratic nomination.




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Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
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« Reply #162 on: January 16, 2004, 10:48:43 PM »

Excellent - go Mel!!!!
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NHPolitico
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« Reply #163 on: January 17, 2004, 01:03:20 PM »

Arlen Specter and Howard Dean—Darlings of Big Labor

Press Release

Wednesday, November 12, 2003

ALLENTOWN—What do Democratic presidential front-runner Howard Dean (D-VT) and Republican Senator Arlen Specter (R-Philadelphia) have in common? Both liberals are being backed by Big Labor in their quests for political office in 2004.

The AFL-CIO’s two largest and most politically potent unions – the Service Employees International Union (SEIU) and the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) – have formally endorsed Dean, and they have contributed thousands of dollars to Specter’s campaign to help him stave off a powerful challenge from conservative Congressman Pat Toomey (R-Lehigh).

“For liberal Arlen Specter to share in common with Howard Dean the full-throated support of Big Labor indicates clearly that Congressman Pat Toomey is the better choice for Republicans who support the Bush agenda,” said Toomey campaign Spokesman Joe Sterns.

Specter has also received significant support from other labor unions’ political action committees this election cycle. Toomey, conversely, boasts the backing of the chairman of the National Federation of Independent Businesses (NFIB), Tom Musser, as well as the Club for the Growth.

I took this from Toomey's homepage. Is there any possibility that Arlen Specter could lose the primary? Pat Toomey seems to be VERY conservative. Could he win PA senat seat with that antilabour stuff?



It would be earth-shattering for Specter to lose. First, polls show he's plenty popular among Republicans to win renomination.  

The moment that John Sununu entered the race, Republicans here said, "Hey, here we go. We can just plug in Sununu and be all set for beating Shaheen in November." Republicans in Pennsylvania aren't looking at Toomey as some super-electable candidate and he's running well-behind Specter, whereas Sununu was competitive the instant he entered the race. He was at 41% as soon as he announced and general election voters chose him as the strongest against Shaheen from the get-go. Once GOP people saw he could raise money, it went neck-and-neck and then he won on the strength of undecideds and undeclareds by double digits.

Toomey couldn't even get to 30% in a December poll and Pennsylvania is a much harder state to boost name ID and support than NH. No serious group of Republicans views Toomey as more electable than Specter-- particularly in a presidential year when Democrats will turnout higher than in an off-year when Santorum won.  Toomey's support is completely impractical and, in the end, a majority of GOP voters will realize that and support Specter.    Toomey is raising money, but not at the proportional clip that Sununu did and Specter's cash advantage is much broader than Smith's was against Sununu.   Sununu was just a a great candidate.  He beat two candidates that outspent him in one year.  Toomey's no Sununu.
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NHPolitico
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« Reply #164 on: January 17, 2004, 01:05:31 PM »

The WH and Santorum are both backing Spector.



Seriously backing him--- not like they "did" for Bob Smith. Cheney never came here to help Bob Smith, but he's gone to PA for Specter.  The WH sent Rove for Smith and Card for Sununu.  There's no similar love for Toomey.
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NHPolitico
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« Reply #165 on: January 17, 2004, 01:08:19 PM »

Schwarzenegger to Back Jones for Senate    
SAN FRANCISCO - Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger (news - web sites) will endorse former California Secretary of State Bill Jones in his bid to challenge Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer, sources close to the governor said.

Jones, a 54-year-old Fresno farmer who spent more than two decades in public life before term limits forced him to step down in 2002, is the best-known candidate in a four-person field vying for the Republican nomination.


Other Republicans in the running are former U.S. Treasurer Rosario Marin, former Los Altos Hills Mayor Toni Casey and former Assemblyman Howard Kaloogian.

Jones lost the race for the GOP nomination for governor in 2002 and actively supported Schwarzenegger during the gubernatorial recall campaign that put the actor in office last fall. He also served on Schwarzenegger's transition team.

Boxer, a liberal Democrat seeking her third term, publicly opposed the recall.

Schwarzenegger has hinted he was likely to support Jones, but the timing of the endorsement, expected Friday, surprised some observers, who believed Schwarzenegger would only get involved in the final days before the March 2 primary, if at all.

"We're once again seeing Gov. Schwarzenegger being a different kind of governor by taking a position in a primary — and so shortly after he was elected himself," GOP consultant Arnold Steinberg said.








And Boxer has only raked in $5M-- a paltry sum for a competitive statewide race in California.   With Arnold's endorsement, I'm eager to see Jones' take next reporting period.
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NHPolitico
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« Reply #166 on: January 17, 2004, 01:11:02 PM »

good news, Harris NOT running in FL!


SARASOTA, Fla. - U.S. Rep. Katherine Harris, who gained international attention for her role in the 2000 presidential recount, will not enter the Republican primary for U.S. Senate, The Associated Press learned Friday.

Harris decided instead to run for re-election, according to a Republican source in Florida close to the situation, speaking on condition of anonymity.

She was scheduled to announce her decision later Friday at a news conference.


The source said Harris was making phone calls to supporters and friends to inform them of her decision.


As Florida secretary of state, Harris oversaw the disputed count that gave George W. Bush a crucial 537-vote victory over Al Gore (news - web sites) in Florida. President Bush (news - web sites)'s political advisers have feared her candidacy would refresh memories of the recount, generating a large turnout from angry Democrats and hurting his chances of carrying the state. Florida's 27 electoral votes are expected to be crucial in the 2004 presidential contest.


Harris has said she's been encouraged to seek retiring Democratic Sen. Bob Graham's seat, buoyed by favorable polls showing her as the early front-runner. A poll released last month by The Miami Herald and St. Petersburg Times found that Harris had the support of 29 percent of GOP voters, followed by former U.S. Rep. Bill McCollum with 15 percent, and former U.S. Housing Secretary Mel Martinez with 11 percent. Thirty-eight percent were undecided. The telephone survey of 800 registered voters had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.


Harris has long flirted with a Senate campaign. In July, she likened her chances of getting into the race to three bodies in the solar system aligning in a straight line — a rare astrological phenomenon.


But when Graham announced in November he would not seek re-election, Harris called it a "blip on the radar screen" and reconsidered the campaign.


As the state's chief elections officer, Harris presided over the re-count during the closest election in Florida history, drawing the ire of Democrats nationally and parodies on late night television shows.


Harris said all along that she simply followed the letter of the law, but she became a darling of Republican activists afterward and was elected last year to Congress.


Her fame helped her amass nearly $3 million for her 2002 congressional campaign. Through the end of the September fund-raising period, she had nearly $350,000 on hand, funds that could be transferred to a Senate race.


Democrats have expressed hope that Harris would enter the race, arguing it would enhance fund-raising and focus more attention on the campaign.


"The race won't be the subject of Jay Leno and David Letterman. But I don't think that's going to change one way or the other what we are going to do," said Jeff Garcia, campaign manager for Democratic Senate candidate Betty Castor.


Castor, a former state Education Commissioner from Tampa, is running against U.S. Rep. Peter Deutsch of Lauderhill and Miami-Dade County Mayor Alex Penelas for the Democratic nomination.






I heard Alcee Hastings endorsed Deutsch.  I wonder how much pull he has with Black Democrat primary voters.  I hope lots.
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NHPolitico
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« Reply #167 on: January 17, 2004, 01:12:51 PM »


I thought that said, "go Me," the first three times I read that. I looked back a few pages wondering what the hell that self-congratulation was about.
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opebo
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« Reply #168 on: January 17, 2004, 01:21:31 PM »

I think Harris would've actually had a very good chance at the Florida Senate seat.  Since she's not running, who's likely to be the nominee?  Martinez?
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NHPolitico
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« Reply #169 on: January 18, 2004, 07:22:20 PM »

I think Harris would've actually had a very good chance at the Florida Senate seat.  Since she's not running, who's likely to be the nominee?  Martinez?


I agree that she's not that horrible of a candidate. The issue is that Florida is a parity state in party identification (46-D, 46-D, 8-I according to a 2002 poll). How many crossover voters does she get? How many independents?  I think that's a big question mark.  As a point, you can note that Harris won in 2002 with less than 55% and her predecessor had just short of 64% in 2000.
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NHPolitico
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« Reply #170 on: January 18, 2004, 07:30:54 PM »

I think Harris would've actually had a very good chance at the Florida Senate seat.  Since she's not running, who's likely to be the nominee?  Martinez?


I think Foley was going to get it and then he dropped out because of his Dad's cancer. Foley has endorsed Mel. However, Connie Mack has endorsed McCollum-- which makes no sense at all to me.  If Connie could be persuaded to change his mind, I think that would knock out McCollum. A few of the other candidates are actually very good statewide candidates and it speaks well of Florida's GOP's bench.
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jravnsbo
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« Reply #171 on: January 20, 2004, 11:29:55 AM »

Exactly!  I think it would have hurt the GOP and Bush if she ran.  She did say she wanted to run for the senate and that would be fine in say 2006 vs Nelson.  Bush is the main thing here.

-hey don I know you don't much care about the fantasy elections, but I would ask that you register to vote and vote whent he time comes.  I am trying to suggest we make it realistic and discuss the issues of the day there and things, plus then motivating members for real world activites.  Thanks for considering it.


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jravnsbo
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« Reply #172 on: January 20, 2004, 11:35:07 AM »

Smith left the party briefly and that killed him.  Sununu is a lot better anyway.  Smith stands no chance in FL, BTW.


The WH and Santorum are both backing Spector.



Seriously backing him--- not like they "did" for Bob Smith. Cheney never came here to help Bob Smith, but he's gone to PA for Specter.  The WH sent Rove for Smith and Card for Sununu.  There's no similar love for Toomey.
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NHPolitico
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« Reply #173 on: January 20, 2004, 11:38:59 AM »

Smith left the party briefly and that killed him.  Sununu is a lot better anyway.  Smith stands no chance in FL, BTW.



John is awesome.
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opebo
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« Reply #174 on: January 21, 2004, 09:38:25 AM »

About South Dakota: I think Thune may have a better chance against Dashle this time round than against Johnson in 02.  The reason is this - Bush supporters in SD will see him as being attacked and possibly unseated by the Democrat nominee.  He's very popular there and SD voters may wish to accentuate their support in his moment of need by voting for Thune.  In 02 the only argument for Thune was to 'support the president's agenda' in the senate.  This time it wil be more a visceral loyalty issue to a man who will be genunitely at risk in a close presidential election.  More of an emotional argument of course - voting for Thune won't actually increase Bush's electoral chances.  Its more of a sense of urgency that will be imparted by the Presidential race.
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