Swing and Trend maps for each year

[Nym90]

2004 Swing

2004 Trend

2000 Swing

2000 Trend

1996 Swing

1996 Trend

1992 Swing

1992 Trend

1988 Swing

1988 Trend

More to come as time permits, stay tuned, same bat time, same bat channel.

[Nym90]

1984 Swing

1984 Trend

1980 Swing

1980 Trend

1976 Swing

1976 Trend

[Nym90]

1972 Swing

1972 Trend

1968 Swing

1968 Trend

1964 Swing

1964 Trend

[Nym90]

1960 Swing

1960 Trend

1956 Swing

1956 Trend

1952 Swing

1952 Trend

[Nym90]

1948 Swing

1948 Trend

1944 Swing

1944 Trend

1940 Swing

1940 Trend

[Nym90]

1936 Swing

1936 Trend

1932 Swing

1932 Trend

1928 Swing

1928 Trend

[Nym90]

Nym90, this is great.  Are you going to go all the way back to 1824?

Another thing that I'd be really interested in seeing at some point is a red vs. blue map for each election *relative to the national average*, so that you see a roughly equal number of "red" and "blue" states in each election.  If anyone wants to do that, I've be very interested.

For now just 1896, since that's as far back as Dave has Swing/Trend data available.

And "Trend" is exactly what you are talking about with your second question. Swing is simply the change in each state from one election to the next, while Trend is the difference between the national swing and the state swing (thus there will always be a roughly even split in the states that trend each way in each election).

[Nym90]

1924 Swing

1924 Trend

1920 Swing

1920 Trend

1916 Swing

1916 Trend

1912 Swing

1912 Trend

[Nym90]

1908 Swing

1908 Trend

1904 Swing

1904 Trend

1900 Swing

1900 Trend

1896 Swing

1896 Trend

[Nym90]

And "Trend" is exactly what you are talking about with your second question. Swing is simply the change in each state from one election to the next, while Trend is the difference between the national swing and the state swing (thus there will always be a roughly even split in the states that trend each way in each election).

Oh, sorry, I think my wording was off.  What I really meant was, a red vs. blue map that shows the percentage of the vote in each state relative to the national average.  Not the year-to-year swing relative to the national average.  So, for example, in 2004, you'd have Iowa, New Mexico and Ohio for Kerry because he did better there than he did in the national popular vote.  But everything else would be the same.  Just so you can see "these are the states that were more Democratic or more Republican than average" even in landslide years.  You already get that a little in the different shadings of the maps in the Atlas, but it's not convenient for comparing different years and so forth.

Oh sure. I was planning to do that as my next project.