Full breakout of Recent AP Poll (Bush 46/Kerry 45) (user search)
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  Full breakout of Recent AP Poll (Bush 46/Kerry 45) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Full breakout of Recent AP Poll (Bush 46/Kerry 45)  (Read 1766 times)
The Vorlon
Vorlon
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Posts: 4,660


Political Matrix
E: 8.00, S: -4.21

« on: June 14, 2004, 11:12:34 PM »

http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/pdf/media/mr040614-3tbrevised.pdf
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The Vorlon
Vorlon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,660


Political Matrix
E: 8.00, S: -4.21

« Reply #1 on: June 15, 2004, 10:54:18 AM »
« Edited: June 15, 2004, 10:57:55 AM by The Vorlon »

Kerry-Edwards: 47%
Bush-Cheney:44%
NAder: 6%


Kerry-Guephardt: 45%
Bush-Cheney: 47%
Nader: 6%

Kerry-Clark:43%
Bush- Cheney: 47%
NAder: 6%

Kerry-Vilsack: 43%
Bush-Cheney: 47%
Nader: 7%


Do you understand why I support Edwards for VP? Wink


President Job approval: 48/50 (27-12-9-2-13-7-30)
Good news for Bush on economy but not good on war on terror.

A small problem for this poll?: 49% democrat and 42% republican and 8% indy

The question they asked is very similar to the one Gallup uses, and yes +7 to the Dems side is a bit high.

The way ipsos does their surveys they let this particular element "float" - they don't weight to it which, on balance is the correct choice IMHO, however others certainly disagree on that point.

The "correct" answer is about +2 or +3 to the Dem side, and Ipsos now an then misses left, now and then misses right, so I would not get too concerned about it.

Unlike the odd other poll there is nothing "systemic" in ipsos driving the miss to the left all the time.

The interesting numbers to me, as always this cycle, was the strength of support.

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