Gallup: Casey(D) widens lead on Santorum(R)
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  Gallup: Casey(D) widens lead on Santorum(R)
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Author Topic: Gallup: Casey(D) widens lead on Santorum(R)  (Read 1945 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« on: September 01, 2006, 09:21:29 PM »
« edited: September 05, 2006, 06:47:10 AM by overton »

New Poll: Pennsylvania Senator by Gallup on 2006-08-27

Summary: D: 56%, R: 38%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #1 on: September 01, 2006, 09:27:19 PM »

Again, where are you getting the numbers? The link only gives the margin.
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ATFFL
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« Reply #2 on: September 02, 2006, 12:31:46 AM »

USA Today/Gallup   08/23 - 08/27   600 LV   38   56   5   Casey +18.0
Rasmussen   08/21 - 08/21   500 LV   40   48   6   Casey +8.0
Keystone Poll   08/16 - 08/21   551 RV   39   44   13   Casey +5.0
Quinnipiac   08/08 - 08/13   1011 LV   42   48   5   Casey +6.0
Morning Call   07/31 - 08/03   550 RV   39   45   16   Casey +6.0


One of these things is not like the other; one of these things just doesn't belong . . . .
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #3 on: September 02, 2006, 12:43:21 AM »

The lead most likely isn't this large but either way Santorum is in a bad way. Now is anyone else looking foward to the Keystone Phil attack on this poll?
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #4 on: September 02, 2006, 08:31:42 AM »

The lead most likely isn't this large but either way Santorum is in a bad way. Now is anyone else looking foward to the Keystone Phil attack on this poll?

I'll do it for him, most polls show a 5-8 point race if it were held today, but considering Santorum's rep, he should win this.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: September 02, 2006, 01:38:48 PM »

The lead most likely isn't this large but either way Santorum is in a bad way. Now is anyone else looking foward to the Keystone Phil attack on this poll?

I'll do it for him, most polls show a 5-8 point race if it were held today, but considering Santorum's rep, he should win this.

Thanks for stepping in.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: September 02, 2006, 01:53:29 PM »

USA Today/Gallup   08/23 - 08/27   600 LV   38   56   5   Casey +18.0
Rasmussen   08/21 - 08/21   500 LV   40   48   6   Casey +8.0
Keystone Poll   08/16 - 08/21   551 RV   39   44   13   Casey +5.0
Quinnipiac   08/08 - 08/13   1011 LV   42   48   5   Casey +6.0
Morning Call   07/31 - 08/03   550 RV   39   45   16   Casey +6.0


One of these things is not like the other; one of these things just doesn't belong . . . .

Well there is an upward trend for him since the Keystone poll...
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RJ
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« Reply #7 on: September 05, 2006, 10:12:57 PM »

I'll do it for him, most polls show a 5-8 point race if it were held today, but considering Santorum's rep, he should win this.

Considering the fact that the governor's race is a wash, I'm not at all sure.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #8 on: September 06, 2006, 12:24:09 AM »

That's the way Down works - the Dem has a solid lead over an incumbent... no, the Rep will win - If the Rep pulls forward by 3 in see-saw race... the Rep will win.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #9 on: September 09, 2006, 05:11:46 PM »
« Edited: September 09, 2006, 05:13:18 PM by The Vorlon »


One of these things is not like the other; one of these things just doesn't belong . . . .


Isn't that my line normally... ?



 =
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adam
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« Reply #10 on: September 11, 2006, 08:11:41 AM »

This isn't Zogby we are dealing with here folks...has it ever occured to anyone else that maybe the poll is right, and that Santorum is just not going to win this race?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #11 on: September 11, 2006, 11:13:41 AM »

This isn't Zogby we are dealing with here folks...has it ever occured to anyone else that maybe the poll is right, and that Santorum is just not going to win this race?

Well I agree with you that he isn't going to win the race but this poll does seem to be an outlier. Also Gallup blew it in '04. They prdicted Kerry would win Ohio and Florida and the Bush would win Pennslyvania.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: September 11, 2006, 04:47:51 PM »

This poll was taken before the debate, when the campaign really start is when the debates start and when the full advertising come forth.
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12th Doctor
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« Reply #13 on: September 13, 2006, 01:34:06 AM »

Acctually, the news outta Harrisburg that had everyone in a frenzy about four days back was that we were able to obtain data on a Casey Camp internal poll that only showed him up by 3.  I can't confirm that, but that's what was being passed along, and there is no need to raise moral right now.
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