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  2004 User Predictions - Discussion (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2004 User Predictions - Discussion  (Read 821189 times)
tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
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« Reply #100 on: January 13, 2004, 04:47:04 pm »

<<On a related issue, Israel supporters here were listening when Dean said we "shouldn't take sides in the Middle East".>>
I'm Jewish, and I am not offended by the remark and do not know anyone who is.  I'm sure some people are though.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #101 on: January 13, 2004, 06:09:11 pm »

Dean does have that problem with Jewish voters.  Also with Jewish voters, one would imagine theey always want a President that is Strong on the defense of Israel or at least protectionist of them.  Does Dean fit that bill?  He was againbst getting rid of Saddam, which did make ISrael safer.  No more Scuds coming there way or tyrannt paying for suicide bombers.  Also Bush has been taken the game right at the enemies of Israel and would definately be seen as strong.  

Not sure about NY, but I'm sure this will help him among Jewish voters.
I think The Jewish voting population is distributed this way:

25%: Vote exlcusively on Israeli issues.
25%: Vote somewhat on Israeli Issues.
50%: Vote mostly on American Issues.

So dean would probably win the Jewish vote 60-35% or so.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #102 on: January 14, 2004, 08:10:43 am »

I don't vote on if a candidate is personally likeable [I voted for gore Smiley], but rather if they can get the job done.  I don't think GWB is personally likeable, but I can see how some people would say he is.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #103 on: January 14, 2004, 01:07:04 pm »

But Bush is doing the job and shows he can, he has already checked this block.

Hm, I am still not convinced. He is allright as a texas governor or an oil tycoon, but I wouldn't really want him to be my president. Which he isn't, so I guess I shouldn't complain too much...
Haha...
The only Dem is would have trouble voting for is Kerry.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #104 on: January 14, 2004, 01:19:23 pm »

I think i got your point, but you are missing a few words

But Bush is doing the job and shows he can, he has already checked this block.

Hm, I am still not convinced. He is allright as a texas governor or an oil tycoon, but I wouldn't really want him to be my president. Which he isn't, so I guess I shouldn't complain too much...
Haha...
The only Dem is would have trouble voting for is Kerry.
I am missing words?  What does that mean?
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #105 on: January 14, 2004, 01:32:21 pm »

Oh, I wrote 'is' instead of 'I'.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #106 on: January 17, 2004, 10:10:38 am »

AFPresident sounds better.  But Hugh, we need your vote!

I had Gore losing Maine, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, Washington, Oregon, and New Mexico, all of which he won.  Don't try to make optimistic predictions, you'll dissapoint yourself.  
Another way to solve the problem is to make best-case scenario predictions and worst-case scenario predictions.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #107 on: January 17, 2004, 10:21:56 am »

How about I name you the leader of the AFDNC voter registration department?
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #108 on: January 17, 2004, 10:22:58 am »

How about I name you the leader of the AFDNC voter registration department?

OK, I feel honoured! Smiley

I will start right away!
Go to work buddy!
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #109 on: January 17, 2004, 04:27:37 pm »

Dammit, Hugh!  you messed this up.  Fix your bracket so me don'thave to carry on like this.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
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« Reply #110 on: January 17, 2004, 04:29:11 pm »

Lets keep posting so this goes away.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #111 on: January 17, 2004, 04:34:06 pm »

I like Jennifer Aniston.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #112 on: January 17, 2004, 04:37:27 pm »

Why not?
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
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« Reply #113 on: January 17, 2004, 04:42:23 pm »

When I try to post, it still looks like this.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #114 on: January 17, 2004, 04:50:55 pm »

No, not too long.

The problem is the posts we have listed under the box we type in.  Once we push gustaf's quote of Hugh out of there, we're home free.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #115 on: January 17, 2004, 04:55:08 pm »

We can do this!  Just keep posting!
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #116 on: January 17, 2004, 04:56:50 pm »

Yes, whatever I say.  I am the boss.
I think one more postb and the problem is fixed.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #117 on: January 17, 2004, 04:57:17 pm »

Oh Yeah.  I got it.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #118 on: January 17, 2004, 04:59:39 pm »

High five!
Back to the discussion.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #119 on: January 17, 2004, 05:03:33 pm »

Clark would lose wisconsin.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #120 on: January 17, 2004, 05:05:17 pm »

Yeah, bush could expose clark's phonieness.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #121 on: January 17, 2004, 05:22:41 pm »

California should come around to the Dems eventually. Let's keep in mind that most undecideds break against the incumbent, so Bush will most likely do worse in some states than current polls predict. But I agree that Clark no longer looks like a strong candidate.
CA probably will go Dem but it will be close.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #122 on: January 17, 2004, 05:36:44 pm »

I posted my Edwards prediction here somewhere, I have Edwards losing by 14 ev's.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #123 on: January 17, 2004, 05:38:37 pm »

I posted my Edwards prediction here somewhere, I have Edwards losing by 14 ev's.

Yeah, I remember that one.
If only you remembered the location!!
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #124 on: January 17, 2004, 05:42:26 pm »

I don't think Dean would take NH.

I think Delaware was originally part of Pennsylvania (I'm talking colonial times) and then broke away from it.  Not sure about that though.
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