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  2004 User Predictions - Discussion (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2004 User Predictions - Discussion  (Read 823707 times)
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #150 on: January 23, 2004, 05:37:28 pm »

The debate was on FOX News.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #151 on: January 23, 2004, 05:39:50 pm »


That's what I thought. I think I could have seen it then, but I didn't.
It was on too late for you???

Well..you have to get up early for PE...huh?
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #152 on: January 23, 2004, 05:42:10 pm »

You have to go into school early for physical education.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #153 on: January 23, 2004, 05:45:11 pm »

In america, PE stand for physical education.  what does it stand for in Sweden?
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #154 on: January 23, 2004, 10:27:00 pm »

In america, PE stand for physical education.  what does it stand for in Sweden?

It isn't used in Sweden, it's called "Idrott&Hälsa", which would mean Health and, well athletic activities, or whatever. I used the term PE, b/c from my stay in the UK it seemed to be the English equivalent of the Swedish subject.
Okay.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #155 on: January 24, 2004, 08:54:09 pm »

Dean will lose to kerry in NH Tuesday Night & he will drop out becuse he was not a good guy after all
Going on your second screen name now Johnny boy?
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #156 on: January 25, 2004, 06:21:04 pm »

You could have asked before using my Edwards sign, Nick Smiley

Welcome to the forum, it's nice to see another Dem for Edwards in 2004.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #157 on: January 26, 2004, 08:09:12 am »

Hey all:

I heard that Dean's numbers have stabilized in New Hampshire and also showing signs of a turnaround within the forseeable future.  But we will have to wait and see.  

Also NickG, welcome to the forum.  

Later.
Last poll has him 18% down.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #158 on: January 26, 2004, 04:50:00 pm »

UPDATED Kerry v. Bush:

Prediction Map:




Bush 298 to Kerry 240

Confidence Map:



Bush 211, Kerry 113, Toss-up 214.

Is this guy just a Taxachusetts liberal or can he win?
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #159 on: January 26, 2004, 05:12:18 pm »

According to the National Journal, Kerry is to the left of ted Kennedy economically, equal with him socially, and to the right of him in foreign affairs.  Kerry does have a paper trail that Bush could use against him.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #160 on: January 26, 2004, 05:18:20 pm »

he was against the Vietnam War, so many Vets don't like that.  He would still take a good chunk of the veteran vote in the general.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #161 on: January 26, 2004, 06:42:07 pm »

It was a very, very hard war to support as time went on.   Especially after the release of the Pentagon Papers.  I don't think anyone was untouched by it.   It was not as clear cut as WWII.    I think we'll get a chance to see the troops react again.

It was very far from being as clear cut as WWII.
Opposition to the Vietnam war was greater than any other war in American history.  The sad thing is, we went knid of half-assed into Vietnam.  I wouldn't have supported it from the outset, but put your will into it if you are going to fight a war.  For example, I would have voted no in authorizing force in Iraq but yes on the 87 Billion for Iraq.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #162 on: January 26, 2004, 07:53:33 pm »

So did Kerry, and Gephardt voted for the 87B.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #163 on: January 26, 2004, 08:41:18 pm »

Because I feel Edwards has the best chance of beating Bush.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #164 on: January 27, 2004, 05:48:00 pm »

I have to say FNC gives great analysis whether you agree with them or not. In my opinion, Brit Hume is one of the best and most evenhanded in reporting people on cable news today.
Yep.  Because CNN is a downright anti-semetic network.

Smiley Smiley Smiley
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #165 on: January 30, 2004, 10:41:49 pm »

Dems: Journalists/reporters, gardens, reads 1+ book per year, listens to NPR, watches CNN, Jim Lehr, subscribes to a news mag.

GOP: News Publishers, cops, Country Western fans, bowlers, reads less than 1 book per year, plays paint-ball,  Fox, Reality TV, subscribes to SI.
Well....I fit into alot of those categories.

On the Dem side, I do read more than a book per year, I watch CNN, and I subcribe to Time Magazine.  On the GOP side, I subscribe to SI.  But I'm blood red baby Smiley
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #166 on: February 04, 2004, 03:39:49 pm »

How is Michigan two stars dem?  It is by no means solid for the Democrat.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #167 on: February 05, 2004, 03:25:38 pm »

Pretty good map, Peteli, although I disagree with your assessments of NH, WV, OH, and MN.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #168 on: February 06, 2004, 08:07:43 am »

Here is my president forever prediction of a clark/edwards ticket...

DEMOCRAT
HA
WA
OR
CA
NV
IA
LA
IL
MI
OH
TN
WV
VA
DC
MD
DE
NJ
NY
CT
RI
MA
VT
NH
ME

with the rest republican. If anyone could be bothered to do an EV count, that would be cool. in the game there were still 160 undecideds (I only have the demo)
President forever is a cool game, but not the most accurate.  I was Bush and I won CA without even campaigning there that much.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #169 on: February 06, 2004, 04:52:12 pm »

well considering clark is from VA and Edwards is from neighboring NC, its not impossible.
yes it is.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #170 on: February 08, 2004, 08:08:55 am »

Like a lot of people he seems to think that WV miners voted en masse for Bush... though I'm not sure where people get that idiotic idea from...

WV always has a low turnout... especially in the ultra-Democrat south of the state... where something like 90% of all coal in WV is mined.
How do you know all this about West Virginia?  I guess you made a good avatar choice Smiley

I think Kerry is a weak candidate, because he starts out with so little and has to fight for everything else.  From the beginning, he has NJ, NY, CT, RI, MA, HI, DC, and that's it.  That's only 76 Ev's, so he has to win the other 194 EV's in battleground or semi-battleground states.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #171 on: February 08, 2004, 08:21:13 am »

I think Kerry will do better than that, the country is sufficiently polarized for him to do reasonably well.
Yes, I do think he will do better than that, but he has to fight for most of what he's got.  Other than Hawaii and the northeast, nothing is safe for him.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #172 on: February 08, 2004, 08:27:54 am »

Also, a new Wisconsin poll is out, showing Bush trailing a generic Democrat 38-54!
Yeah, I saw that, that's good news.  Steel tariffs hurt us there though Sad

Kerry probably also would win ME, VT, DE, MD, MI, WA, and CA without much work.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #173 on: February 08, 2004, 02:52:43 pm »

UPDATED Kerry v. Bush:


Bush 270 to Kerry 268
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #174 on: February 08, 2004, 03:07:07 pm »

Actually, I had WV in the Kerry column until I saw it gave Kerry enough to win, so I took WV out so that Kerry would lose.

Never jinx it.
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