2004 User Predictions - Discussion (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 08:56:34 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2004 U.S. Presidential Election
  2004 User Predictions - Discussion (search mode)
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6 [7]
Author Topic: 2004 User Predictions - Discussion  (Read 866197 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,609
United Kingdom


« Reply #150 on: May 08, 2004, 03:02:44 AM »

Thanks!

To be honest, I lost my link to this site!

How embarrassing. Sad

I've done that sort of thing before...
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,609
United Kingdom


« Reply #151 on: May 31, 2004, 10:20:35 AM »

Re: VA becoming "more Republican".
Using State Legislative results in VA is deeply flawed... most districts in VA are uncontested, and a lot of the Democrats in VA used to be rather right wing (eg. Harry F Byrd... or Virgil Goode, before he ratted).
You ought to know that.
Secondly to describe *Warner* as a *Republican* is plain silly. Sure he's a moderate-to-populist-rural-orientated-Democrat, but *that does not make someone a Republican*.
Your other analysis is highly suspect as well.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,609
United Kingdom


« Reply #152 on: May 31, 2004, 10:38:08 AM »

Re: VA becoming "more Republican".
Using State Legislative results in VA is deeply flawed...
Or just about every other state...

True... but for some reason it's worse in VA... sod all candidates get opposed... meaning that a gain of 2 seats is thought of as huge...
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,609
United Kingdom


« Reply #153 on: May 31, 2004, 10:44:19 AM »

On the subject of State legislatures, has anyone else heard what the NC GOP has done to the Co-Speaker?
Ouch!
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,609
United Kingdom


« Reply #154 on: May 31, 2004, 12:10:52 PM »

On the subject of State legislatures, has anyone else heard what the NC GOP has done to the Co-Speaker?
Ouch!

Did you hear the Governer of S.Carolina brought pigs into the state house. In honor of pork! lol

Huh
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,609
United Kingdom


« Reply #155 on: June 01, 2004, 08:28:29 AM »

The map I posted a while ago is Al Cephmiar's.  He is a bit delusional Smiley

Hey!
I was assuming a Kerry-Edwards ticket... and that map isn't the importent one... the importent one is (IMO) the confidence map:

Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,609
United Kingdom


« Reply #156 on: June 01, 2004, 01:15:24 PM »

If SC is lean GOP, then so are KY and IN.

Textiles... and the map assumes a Kerry-Edwards ticket...
The map *will* change... KY was almost a leaner.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,609
United Kingdom


« Reply #157 on: June 18, 2004, 07:24:29 AM »
« Edited: June 18, 2004, 07:39:53 AM by Al »

I am considering adding a third column/color in my map: likeley Bush.  If I do, here wil be the key:

Lean (light red or blue): <5% lead
Likely (medium red or blue): 5-10% lead
Solid (dark red or blue): >10% lead

Tweed, ***** **** ***** ******
message edited for the purposes of skullduggery
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,609
United Kingdom


« Reply #158 on: June 23, 2004, 06:45:23 AM »

My graph:



Most changes are because of mindless tinkering wi' the map when I'm bored...
Logged
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6 [7]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.025 seconds with 10 queries.