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February 16, 2020, 11:41:36 pm
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  2004 User Predictions - Discussion (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2004 User Predictions - Discussion  (Read 824694 times)
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #250 on: March 27, 2004, 02:01:07 pm »

I don't think Colorado will go democrat.

welcome to the board Lunar!
Only if the VP is Richarson.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #251 on: March 27, 2004, 02:14:13 pm »

With Richardson:
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #252 on: March 27, 2004, 02:29:12 pm »

edwards on the ticket?  Maybe take away NM, AZ, FL, and NV, and add OH, WI, and IA.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #253 on: March 28, 2004, 11:48:23 am »

I'm gonna update mine now.  I lose faith in Kerry every day.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #254 on: March 28, 2004, 11:51:32 am »



Bush/Cheney 350
Kerry/Edwards 188
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #255 on: March 28, 2004, 12:17:06 pm »

You may call me a dreamer..lol

Miami though I would like that to be the final result I just dont see it.

Why not?
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #256 on: March 28, 2004, 05:17:06 pm »

Gephardt is a generic Dem.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #257 on: March 28, 2004, 05:20:43 pm »

Gephardt is to the right of KErry
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #258 on: March 28, 2004, 07:43:42 pm »


No he isnít on trade, on government spending, on taxation, he is very much to Kerry's left (however he is a friend of Kerry's and now a big supporter)...  


Kerry is the most liberal senate member.
Gephardt is in the center-left among house members.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #259 on: March 28, 2004, 07:49:38 pm »

Clinton won two times being considered a "moderate". Whens the last time a person who spent any time in office as a senator became President?

Kennedy I think
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #260 on: March 28, 2004, 07:51:57 pm »

He was a Senator. But he was out a lot of that tenure for illness and did not vote very much on bills. Dukakis Jr. has a long record. Democrats wanted a Clinton and have ended up with a Dukakis.


yep Sad

Where's Edwards when you need him?
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #261 on: March 31, 2004, 07:02:33 pm »

Indiana Poll (N=600)
Registered voters (87% of which are very likely to vote)

Bush: 55% favorable, 37% unfavorable
Kerry: 35% favorable, 40% unfavorable

52-37, Bush over Kerry
43% definite for Bush
29% definite for Kerry

(self-identification)
38% GOP
26% Dem
21% Independent



Who did the poll?
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #262 on: April 01, 2004, 05:12:16 pm »

Ok, thanks.

Never heard of 'bellwether research'
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #263 on: April 01, 2004, 06:43:59 pm »



Bush/Cheney 287
Kerry/Richardson 251
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #264 on: April 02, 2004, 04:41:00 pm »

UPDATED Kerry v. Bush:



Bush 361
Kerry 177
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #265 on: April 02, 2004, 05:05:27 pm »


ouch yourself
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #266 on: April 05, 2004, 01:48:47 pm »

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=694&ncid=696&e=4&u=/ap/20040405/ap_on_el_pr/kerry_vice_president

Any extremely different and realistic  maps with these different VP possibilities.  
Especially Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius, William Cohen, Virginia Gov. Mark Warner, New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson

aslo
Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack
Rep. Dick Gephardt
North Carolina Sen. John Edwards
Bob Kerrey

I don't see any maps at the link you just posted.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #267 on: April 05, 2004, 01:49:26 pm »

I am deliberating whether to send California, Illinois, and WV over to Bush.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #268 on: April 05, 2004, 02:07:53 pm »

California?  California has been getting MORE liberal, not less.  Arnold isn't even campaigning for Bush (because Bush refuses to give us any money, or at least the same amount as  before, I think).  The hands-off approach of the federal government towards Enron, both while they were butchering our economy and the relaxed approach towards the prosecution doesn't help.

You sure you don't want to give Vermont and DC to him as well as Illinois and California?



Maybe Vermont, not DC.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #269 on: April 05, 2004, 02:18:16 pm »

So, maybe something like this, if Kerry's LUCKY?!



I think you're out of touch.  You automatically (and falsely) assume everyone will adopt your view of Kerry (even though your view is probably right).

I could see that heppening, just as HI to Kerry.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #270 on: April 05, 2004, 04:11:45 pm »


Bush getting 500+ EV's is more likely than Kerry getting 500+.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #271 on: April 05, 2004, 09:49:51 pm »

That French guy in one of his comments said "It isn't a super map?"

LOL
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #272 on: April 06, 2004, 09:26:42 pm »

UPDATED:



Same EV total that is in my signature, but I adjusted some leans into solids and solids into leans.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #273 on: April 07, 2004, 09:33:03 am »

I can't see Kerry picking up West Virginia if Bush stomps him in Washington, New Hampshire, the entire Midwest, and two other battleground steel states (Ohio and Pen).  And do you have Maryland at 40%?  

No that's at lean Kerry.  It is a confidence map.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #274 on: April 08, 2004, 10:11:11 am »


That's Kevinstat's predicition.  It's not really his prediction.
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