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  2004 U.S. Presidential Election
  2004 User Predictions - Discussion (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2004 User Predictions - Discussion  (Read 820664 times)
tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
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« Reply #25 on: December 29, 2003, 12:18:46 pm »

made afew seperate folders in my favorites for national politics and newspapers by states and  such.

Just make sub categories.
I'm too lazy for that.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #26 on: December 30, 2003, 11:26:06 am »

Btw, shouldn't tossups always be equally distributed between the parties? I notice a lot of people mark states as tossups on their confidence maps, and then hand all or most of them to one party in the prediction map. That isn't really intelectually honest, is it?  
Tossups should not sbe equally distributed between the parties.  If the popular vote of the rest of the nation is 60-40%, why would you give 50% of hte tossups to each side?  Distribute the tossups like this:

If there are 250 Dem Ev's and 200 Republican Ev's, give 20% more of the remaining states to the Dems.

Please tell me if this is heard to understand.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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United States


« Reply #27 on: December 30, 2003, 12:45:45 pm »

I suspect that our friend from across the pond continues to underestimate the cultural and social conservative nature of the South and it's effect on southern voting patterns for one very understandable reason.  He has never been exposed to anything like that kind of conservativism in Britain and can't begin to identify with it.  This is understandable.  I doubt anything like it even exists among the tories.  There's nothing like it in Great Britain and it's hard to give a lot of credense to something you can't identify with.
I don't think he has.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #28 on: December 30, 2003, 12:55:31 pm »

So southern whites who vote for Bush are voting for a race- baiter and gay-basher?  Oh brother.....
I don't understand where you got that statement from.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
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« Reply #29 on: December 30, 2003, 12:58:50 pm »

I did.  He said that there are race-baiters and gay-bashers in the UK also.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
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« Reply #30 on: December 30, 2003, 01:20:04 pm »

I would say...

Every forum has an incredibly long thread, and this is ours!  Yay!
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
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« Reply #31 on: December 30, 2003, 01:24:17 pm »

Aha... Smiley
...although I hear that Jmf and Migrendel might come to an agreement on something... Wink
Nah... Smiley Smiley
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #32 on: December 30, 2003, 01:34:15 pm »

John logged in last evening but didn't post.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #33 on: December 30, 2003, 01:37:07 pm »

Does anyone here remember Democrat/Republican?
I have read many of his posts.  He was playing around, he wasn't being serious.  but why did Leip let him post?  He was obviously a troll, delete his account.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #34 on: December 30, 2003, 01:38:56 pm »

Does anyone here remember Democrat/Republican?

Would that be the old forum?
Yeah.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #35 on: December 30, 2003, 01:42:22 pm »

Ah yes, Democrat/Republican.  I remember him well....
You didn't register until after his departure.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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United States


« Reply #36 on: December 30, 2003, 01:44:47 pm »

I doubt it.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #37 on: December 30, 2003, 01:46:45 pm »

I know that---

But you registered on July 2, 2003, and by that time Democrat's threads were buried.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
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« Reply #38 on: December 30, 2003, 01:48:53 pm »

Democrat stopped posting way before youm registered.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #39 on: December 30, 2003, 01:51:27 pm »

I read a number of his old posts, but who cares?
So wouldn't it be inaccurate to say you remember him?
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #40 on: December 30, 2003, 01:54:59 pm »

No, I read his some of his old posts on the old forum.  Not all were buried.

Get a life.
No reason to make harsh remarks, which is always what you seem to do.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #41 on: December 30, 2003, 01:56:59 pm »

Truce??
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #42 on: December 30, 2003, 01:58:56 pm »

Good.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #43 on: December 30, 2003, 03:11:19 pm »


I don't believe it! You had a really good chance to build a pyramid there, but oh, no, you decided not to quote each other! *Sigh*

Btw, Realpolitik seem to take for granted that Mr_president and John are in fact one and the same [cue more dramatic music/thunder].

Do everyone think this? They do have different e-mail adresses.
I didn't want a pyramid.
I'm not sure if John and Prez are the same person but htey act like it.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #44 on: December 31, 2003, 02:16:19 pm »

Here is the link to Edwards' electoral college calculator:

http://www.johnedwards2004.com/map/

It is good, but the deluxe calculator here is the best one I have seen.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #45 on: December 31, 2003, 03:05:43 pm »

What did you want a link to?
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #46 on: December 31, 2003, 03:43:44 pm »

http://www.grayraven.com/ec
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #47 on: December 31, 2003, 04:20:15 pm »

Yeah grayraven is pretty good.  I like it better than Edwards' but not as much as I like Leip's.  Smiley
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #48 on: December 31, 2003, 06:42:18 pm »

Yeah grayraven is pretty good.  I like it better than Edwards' but not as much as I like Leip's.  Smiley

Suck-up! Smiley Btw, in 5 minutes is 2004! And they say "where America goes the world follows"... Smiley Not this time! I will be waiting for you to catch up! Happy new year everybody! Smiley Smiley Smiley
It is 2004 in about 5 hours here.  and I genuinely do like Leip's better thanthe other ones.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,600
United States


« Reply #49 on: December 31, 2003, 06:55:41 pm »

Yeah grayraven is pretty good.  I like it better than Edwards' but not as much as I like Leip's.  Smiley

Suck-up! Smiley Btw, in 5 minutes is 2004! And they say "where America goes the world follows"... Smiley Not this time! I will be waiting for you to catch up! Happy new year everybody! Smiley Smiley Smiley
It is 2004 in about 5 hours here.  and I genuinely do like Leip's better thanthe other ones.

5 hours and 13 minutes until 2004.
I guess we are both on the east coast.  
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