Who has a better chance of winning?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Apparentely some people here believe that despite being up 2 points in the last poll and down 3 at the most in any recent poll Mike Hatch is toast and has no chance, yet despite being down over 20 points Kerry Healey is still going to win.

[adam]

Healey will be lucky to hit 45%, where as Hatch has a legitiment chance of winning.

[Nym90]

Apparentely some people here believe that despite being up 2 points in the last poll and down 3 at the most in any recent poll Mike Hatch is toast and has no chance, yet despite being down over 20 points Kerry Healey is still going to win.

I assume you are referring to WalterMitty.

You have to admit Walter is a bit of an enigma. He's actually one of the most liberal Republicans around, and supports a number of very liberal positions that are even to the left of most Democrats here (affirmative action, guns, several economic issues) and actually seems to like liberal Democrats well enough (he's voting for Ted Kennedy) but yet is one of the biggest Republican hacks when it comes to his predictions. As Tweed pointed out, he's actually predicting a net gain of one seat for the GOP in the Senate. Even Htmldon only has the GOP breaking even.
 
Of course, we still love you Walter. It's just a bit odd. At least he speaks his mind and doesn't back down just because his stances and predictions are unpopular, which is worthy of a great deal of respect.

I'm not one to talk anyway about hackishness, since I've had the Dems at plus 6 for a long time, though my prediction of TN going to the Dems all along looks a lot smarter now than it did a few months ago.

In response to the poll, clearly Hatch has a far better chance of winning. He has about a 50 percent chance, whereas Healey would need Patrick to be caught with a live boy or dead girl in order for her to win.

[7,052,770]

Hatch (obviously)

[Rococo4]

Hatch has a far better chance, but I think Pawlenty will win.

[Deano963]

I'm STILL waiting for Walter to show up and say:

"Healey (normal)"

That dude cracks me up.

[Eraserhead]

Hatch (Duh).

[Butch McCracken]

What is the point of asking this question since it's not an equal question. You have one candidate, Healey, who is down by double digits. Then there is the other candidate, Hatch, who is basically tied with Tim Pawlenty.

[Conan]

Hatch is probably going to win.

[Tender Branson]

Hatch is probably going to win.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

What is the point of asking this question since it's not an equal question. You have one candidate, Healey, who is down by double digits. Then there is the other candidate, Hatch, who is basically tied with Tim Pawlenty.

Correct. However despite that, some people are still predicting a Healey victory while saying Hatch is completely done.

[WalterMitty]

hatch has a slightly better chance at this time.

i wish massachusetts had an earlier primary.   the short general campaign is not beneficial to underdogs.

but im sticking with my healey prediction.