OH: Mason-Dixon: Brown (D) ahead of DeWine (R)

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Ohio Senator by Mason-Dixon on 2006-10-21

Summary: D: 48%, R: 40%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

This one is pretty much over. I just want confirmation the NSCC really has pulled out, since I've been hearing contradictory reports.

[poughies]

Brown continues to show that a populist candidate can win. Oh i'm sorry i mean a liberal candidate that says he is populist.... though liberal's can be populist, he has managed to define himself as populist. pure genius.

[okstate]

Seems that Survey USA's result here was not as crazy as we all thought after the Q-poll and NYT confirmed it (And to a lesser extent, now, Mason-Dixon).  Although Brown is not over 50 percent here, DeWine has been polling around 40-42 for weeks now except in the Ohio Poll, and it does have Brown over 50 percent.

Either way, DeWine appears to be on the way out. He's now maybe more vulnerable than Burns and in second-place only to Rick Santorum.

[Nym90]

This seems right to me. Brown wins by about 7-9 points.

[AuH2O]

The NRSC did not and will not pull out of Ohio. They have plenty of money (well combined with the RNC). I also would be really, really shocked if DeWine was blown up by close to 10 points.

That doesn't mean it won't happen. And a loss is a loss, I just expect DeWine to lose by a somewhat smaller margin.

[Smash255]

The NRSC did not and will not pull out of Ohio. They have plenty of money (well combined with the RNC). I also would be really, really shocked if DeWine was blown up by close to 10 points.

That doesn't mean it won't happen. And a loss is a loss, I just expect DeWine to lose by a somewhat smaller margin.

Pull out?  No, but I believe they scaled back what they were going to spend in order to focus it on MO, TN & VA.

[Eraserhead]

MD confirms what most of us knew...Dewine is toast. This also seems more realistic than the polls that gave Brown double digit leads though.