ok, this Australian (who, even though he leans left, will be neutral here, due to it not being my decidion) has compiled a realistic "best case scenario" for Reps and "best case scenario" for Dems. A landslide is possiblke for both sides if they play their cards right, but their will be no McGovernish losses for either side, due to the polarisation of America at the mo.
For the Democratic Best Case Scenario: Carey
For the Republican Best Case Scenario: Carey2
I apologise if I made a mistake with the shades of certain states, I was kinda rushing.
Seems reasonable to me. You have a lot of tossups in both cases, and you let all of them go to the winning party, but otherwise they seemed accurate to me. Why don't you make one which is not best-worse, but the one you think will occur?
well to answer the tossup point, in a best case scenario, all of the tossups would go to the winner.
Secondly, the realistic one I will do as soon as a nominee is clear (and no, Howard Dean has not won it, and I would not be surprised if he doesn't get the nom)
plus I am afraid of being wrong
lol