SurveyUSA: McCaskill leads Talent by 3%

[TheresNoMoney]

McCaskill:   49%
Talent:       46%
Gilmour:      2%
Undediced:  4%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=f5a2300c-8c54-4566-ba53-7253b699ab36&q=30179

Also, it looks like the stem cell amendment should pass (though it will be close).

Certain Yes:   50%
Certain  No:   40%
Undecided:     10%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=f5a2300c-8c54-4566-ba53-7253b699ab36&q=31252

[Conan]

Wasnt the stem cell thing passing overwhelmingly early on?

[TheresNoMoney]

Wasnt the stem cell thing passing overwhelmingly early on?

I'm not sure, but I'm surprised by the poll results showing it pretty close.

[Sam Spade]

Amendments and Propositions almost never gain votes as the election gets closer, they lose support.

Looking at the crosstabs on this one, I see a race that is going to come down to turnout.  Nothing has really changed from the last poll, except that this one has 2% more Democrats than Republicans and the last poll had 3% more Republicans than Democrats.

[TheresNoMoney]

Looking at the crosstabs on this one

Where are the crosstabs?

[Sam Spade]

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=f5a2300c-8c54-4566-ba53-7253b699ab36

[TheresNoMoney]

Thanks Sam.

I'm amazed at how close this race has been over the past 6 months, very little movement in either direction.

[Gabu]

This and Tennessee are both looking to be ridiculously close on Election Day unless something happens soon.

Wouldn't be a good time, I suppose, if you didn't have something to stay up all night for.

[Sam Spade]

Both Republicans and Democrats are strongly behind their candidate and Indys are relatively split.  That guarantees a tight race in a state where the partisan numbers are relatively even.

[poughies]

The stem cell will pass..... I really have no clue who will win Missouri... it is the unpredictable race.... I had a feeling that if Dems would win this season one of the two other races [tenn or vir] would overtake it as a the best chance for the dem's fifth seat. I was wrong in thinking that it would tenn.... it has turned to be virginia...

[Eraserhead]

Wasn't McCaskill up 9 in the last SUSA poll?

[© tweed]

Wasn't McCaskill up 9 in the last SUSA poll?

No, Talent was up 3.

[Eraserhead]

Wasn't McCaskill up 9 in the last SUSA poll?

No, Talent was up 3.

What was the poll that had her up 9 then?

[Deano963]

McCaskill:   49%
Talent:       46%
Gilmour:      2%
Undediced:  4%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=f5a2300c-8c54-4566-ba53-7253b699ab36&q=30179

Also, it looks like the stem cell amendment should pass (though it will be close).

Certain Yes:   50%
Certain  No:   40%
Undecided:     10%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=f5a2300c-8c54-4566-ba53-7253b699ab36&q=31252

From Rothenberg:

Stem cell research

Missouri Amendment 2. Allows embryonic stem cell research. Research 2000 for St. Louis Post-Dispatch/KMOV, Oct.-51% yes, 35% no. Previous: Research 2000 for St. Louis Post-Dispatch/KMOV, August-- 58% yes, 37% no.

[okstate]

McCaskill was up 9 in the SUSA poll before the last one

[Deano963]

Wasn't McCaskill up 9 in the last SUSA poll?

No, Talent was up 3.

SUSA did, in the poll before their last one that had Talent up 3.

What was the poll that had her up 9 then?

[Downwinder]

Well, I certainly hope this poll is true, but at this point, I don't think anyone will be able to forecast this race until it's been completely counted--probably sometime early on November 8.