From what I can tell especially from the Gov race in VA last year, it seems VA is one of the few places where the Dem GOTV machine is as strong as the GOP.
As I pointed out here, the idea of a vastly superior GOP GOTV machine is a misconception.
Virginia is actually a state where in 2004 Bush outperformed the polls. However the Governor's race is probably a better example to compare this year against.
Actually, the 2005 Governor's race is pretty much the odd man out. Historically, the GOP underpolls in Virginia to the tune of about 3%-4%, at least since the early 1990s.
Maybe the 2005 scenario will repeat itself this year, but I wouldn't go around saying that this is the historically correct interpretation. And I don't see what, if any, this has to do with the GOP GOTV operation.
