RI: Mason-Dixon: Chafee now up one point (46-45)

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

MOE movement probably. And even Mason-Dixon gets 1 in 20s.

Still, being at 45 is quite bad for an incumbent, since undecides usually break 2:1 against them. The undecideds are probably mostly people who like Chafee  but don't want a Republican Congress. Hard to see them breaking for Chafee in that case.

But even if he does pull this off, he's wooable.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Of all pollsters, only Mason-Dixon appears to be trending toward the GOP. This means that either:

1-They've screwed something in their methodology causing bias
2-They've picked up on something no on else has

I'm really hoping it's #1.

Entirely possible though. Remember how badly Gallup blew it in 2004.

Wouldn't it be quite odd if Zogby ended up being more accurate than M-D?

Actually, M-D and Zogby do have the same result in VA.