I can't help but worry that the Democratic campaign as a whole is beginnning to fall apart right at the last moment, what with this poll, the Montana race now being shown to be a tie, Maryland still looming over Democrats regarding what black voters will do, Tennessee dropping off the map, and so on.
It was nice while it lasted, at least. 
It ain't that bad. We knew the odds at taking the Senate were low and they remain low...but we still have a shot.
Yes, if we win all of the seats that we're favored in, we'll have 51. We just need all of them, and some are kind of tossup, unless we magically win TN or AZ.
We still have maybe 25% odds. The problem is, we really need to run the tables to turn an 18-15 Democratic split into a 24-9 Democratic split.
