I added momentum (1-2%), weekend (2%), very red state (1-2%), Saddam verdict (1-2%)
Why are you adding "very red state"? Why would a poll need to make additional accounting for that?
I think Burns is under polling in Montana, as most GOPers do in Red States in recent years. BUT, I forgot about the large number of early voting when I originally posted in this thread. I no longer believe Burns will win by 3-6%. This one will be very tight.
I agree it will be tight...I think that Burns though (unlike Bunning in Kentucky which for some reason felt like a similar situation) will lose...too little too late
