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  It's not over...Casey only up four
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Author Topic: It's not over...Casey only up four  (Read 34492 times)
Keystone Phil
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« on: November 06, 2006, 09:50:39 pm »

Casey - 48
Santorum - 44


Thank you, Grassrootspa...

From a new New McCulloch Research & Polling Survey:

U.S. Senator Rick Santorum has gained ground in his bid to win re-election, according to a new poll released Monday. The poll of 800 very likely general election voters, was conducted by McCulloch Research & Polling, an independent polling company out of Chicago, on November 4-5.

Santorum’s opponent, State Treasurer Bob Casey, Jr., led the incumbent Senator 48.1-44.1%, according to the poll. “Senator Santorum has a history of closing hard at the end of his campaigns,” said pollster Rod McCulloch. “It looks like this campaign will be no different.”

Treasurer Casey racks up his largest margin geographically in Southeast Pennsylvania, where he leads Senator Santorum 53.7%-37.1% in the region encompassing Philadelphia and surrounding counties.

Senator Santorum, who racked up overwhelming majorities during his last election in 2000 in Central and Northwestern Pennsylvania, is seeing some of those voters returning to the fold, according to the poll. The second term Senator leads in Central Pennsylvania (55.1-38.8%), South Central Pennsylvania (55.0-44.1%), Northeastern Pennsylvania (54.6%-38.1%), and Northwestern Pennsylvania (48.3%-41.4%).

In addition to the Philadelphia area, Treasurer Casey also leads Santorum in the Southwestern Pennsylvania area surrounding Pittsburgh (49.5%-41.0%).

To close the gap with Casey, Santorum also needs his base of conservative voters to come home in large numbers. That appears to be happening, according to the poll, with 79.8% of Republican voters, and 91.0% of conservative Republican voters choosing the pro-life Senator over the pro-life State Treasurer.

Santorum also leads among younger older voters over age 60 (46.0%-44.6%), and white voters (48.4%-43.9%). Casey leads among all other age groups, as well as among voters who identify themselves as Independents (49.0%-39.3%), and African-American voters (79.8%-14.6%).

The election, like many around the nation, will most likely be decided by which party can get their voters to the polls in higher numbers. While Santorum holds the big lead among Republicans, Casey offsets that by attracting a similar percentage of Democratic voters (76.5%).

“This election is still Bob Casey, Jr.’s to lose,” McCulloch said. “But Santorum has now put himself in position for an upset.”



http://www.pagop.org/News/Read.aspx?ID=2965
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jfern
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« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2006, 09:52:09 pm »

It's always bad when GOOGLE turns up 0 hits.
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okstate
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« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2006, 09:53:09 pm »

Who is McCulloch Research??
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2006, 09:55:10 pm »


Independent firm out of Chicago
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Gabu
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« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2006, 09:57:00 pm »

This would mean that Santorum has made up four points per day since November 4 after having made up no ground all election.

Sorry Phil, but I'm gonna go with every other pollster who has ever polled Pennsylvania. Tongue
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adam
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« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2006, 09:57:57 pm »

Mason-Dixon has Casey by 12, and even the GOP leaning Strategic Vision has Casey up by 13. I'll trust M-D before I trust some no name poller out of Chicago.
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okstate
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« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2006, 09:58:33 pm »

LOL I can read the article, Keystone Phil.

My question was more along the lines of "do they have any track record at all?"
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Alcon
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« Reply #7 on: November 06, 2006, 09:59:28 pm »

All I know about this pollster is that Mr. McCulloch was investigated in DuPage County, Illinois, for election fraud in getting a Republican candidate on the primary ballot.

That doesn't mean it's a bad pollster, but with no record and with conflicting results, I'm going to have to say that I wouldn't weigh this one big.
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The love that set me free
BRTD
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« Reply #8 on: November 06, 2006, 10:00:37 pm »

Google "McCulloch Research" and hit "I'm feeling lucky".

Yeah, this doesn't strike me as too trustworthy.
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #9 on: November 06, 2006, 10:01:06 pm »

Casey will win, he's more in step with Pennsylvania as a whole on the issues. Casey 53-46

Dave
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Deano963
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« Reply #10 on: November 06, 2006, 10:16:53 pm »

LOL!

If there were such a thing as polling licenses I think McCulloch Research should have theirs revoked.

This poll is such complete garbage that I question the intelligence of the person who would even bother posing it.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #11 on: November 06, 2006, 10:38:51 pm »

Wow.

A poll from a unknown firm, published (only) on the Pensylvania GOP website released the day before the vote showing a massive late charge the by GOP incumbant....

I would never have predicted that in a million years.

/sarcasm
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Raoul Takemoto
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« Reply #12 on: November 06, 2006, 10:42:43 pm »

I take this poll with the proverbial grain of salt. Smiley
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #13 on: November 06, 2006, 10:45:52 pm »

A good chuckle every day keeps the doctor away.
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Deano963
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« Reply #14 on: November 06, 2006, 10:58:26 pm »

I take this poll with the proverbial grain of salt. Smiley

Don't you mean an industrial-sized bag of rock salt?
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Conan
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« Reply #15 on: November 06, 2006, 11:09:41 pm »

It's OVER for Santorum. He's done! Forget him.
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poughies
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« Reply #16 on: November 06, 2006, 11:23:13 pm »

ummmmmmm...... hmmmmmmmmmmmmm...... I don't know what to say.
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Alcon
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« Reply #17 on: November 06, 2006, 11:33:04 pm »
« Edited: January 03, 2012, 03:59:38 pm by Alcon »

I take this poll with the proverbial grain of salt. Smiley

Don't you mean an industrial-sized bag of rock salt?

With a poll result like this, I'd say a bag of rock salt, road flares, iodine, lye and some matches.

(Sorry, Phil.)
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #18 on: November 07, 2006, 02:11:04 am »

Yeah... Santorum is DONE.
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Deano963
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« Reply #19 on: November 08, 2006, 09:00:46 pm »

LOL - I guess we can pretty much discard any future polls that from this outfit.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #20 on: November 09, 2006, 12:52:19 am »

LOL - I guess we can pretty much discard any future polls that from this outfit.

Just slighty outside the MoE. Smiley
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Ferdinand
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« Reply #21 on: May 16, 2007, 11:47:25 pm »

Hahahaha....Santorum.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #22 on: July 08, 2007, 07:36:48 pm »

I remember this thread. It was pretty funny at the time and it's still kind of funny now.
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