Shockers of the election?
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  Shockers of the election?
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Author Topic: Shockers of the election?  (Read 9019 times)
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jfern
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« on: November 08, 2006, 05:25:37 AM »

Winning NH-01 and IA-02 wasn't expected.
Casey winning by 18 points wasn't expected.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2006, 05:29:12 AM »

Bredesen winning every single county in TN
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2006, 05:29:31 AM »

A lot this election.  Once the results are more final, I'll point out the ones that surprised me the most.
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Ben.
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« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2006, 05:30:41 AM »

Casey's margin was surprising... it was closer in TN that many folks might have though (though i wasnt surprised... anoyed though Wink ).

Overall though the big shocks where in the house, where a number of big names fell to the Dems.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2006, 05:34:44 AM »

A lot this election.  Once the results are more final, I'll point out the ones that surprised me the most.

Something I noticed is that the Republicans were, generally, better at holding affluent suburban districts (or mixed districts with an affluent suburban presence) than other sorts of seat.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #5 on: November 08, 2006, 05:44:02 AM »

A lot this election.  Once the results are more final, I'll point out the ones that surprised me the most.

Something I noticed is that the Republicans were, generally, better at holding affluent suburban districts (or mixed districts with an affluent suburban presence) than other sorts of seat.

NY-19 being an exception, I presume.  But I see your point.

Like I said earlier, the wave hit in odd places.  IN, NH and PA were decimated (with Gerlach oddly standing throughout), OH and NY were left relatively unscathed. (NY-19 being the exception)  IA, WI were hit badly and so was MN-01, but Pawlenty looks likely to survive.  Shays was left standing, Johnson was taken down, Simmons is really unknown right now.

One other thing, which I mentioned on another thread, if Wilson survives, I'm going to offer WMS a drink to toast the victory.  After calling her "dead" this morning, saying she was a good GOP Rep. who lost to a totally inferior opponent, if she manages to pull it out, this will make my election.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #6 on: November 08, 2006, 05:53:43 AM »

Bingaman winning every county in NM. Richardson lost only Catron County by 2 (!!) votes.
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Rob
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« Reply #7 on: November 08, 2006, 06:07:27 AM »

Casey destroying Santorum:



Nelson destroying Ricketts:

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Rob
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« Reply #8 on: November 08, 2006, 06:35:24 AM »

And, of course, Klobuchar slaughtering Kennedy.



This last was a bloodbath. Kennedy couldn't even break 40 percent... ouch.
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TeePee4Prez
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« Reply #9 on: November 08, 2006, 06:38:42 AM »

Patrick Murphy winning, but Lois losing.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #10 on: November 08, 2006, 06:40:36 AM »

Something I noticed is that the Republicans were, generally, better at holding affluent suburban districts (or mixed districts with an affluent suburban presence) than other sorts of seat.

The suburbs always ruin everything.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #11 on: November 08, 2006, 06:43:46 AM »

Patrick Murphy winning, but Lois losing.

Gerlach winning, Fitz and Hart losing.  I would never have predicted that, period.  Weldon and Sherwood were already gone.  Go figure.
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #12 on: November 08, 2006, 09:39:03 AM »


Though I say it myself, a very nice win for Casey

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Solid win for Nelson, but, alas, not enough out West for Scott Kleeb. Had the gubernatorial been more competitive, he may have stood a chance but 45% for a Democrat in NE-03 is very respectable. It's a crying shame the district will be represented by a dud Roll Eyes

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« Reply #13 on: November 08, 2006, 09:45:41 AM »

The Star Tribune nailed the MN senate race. That's about the biggest shocker possible.
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
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« Reply #14 on: November 08, 2006, 09:50:20 AM »

For the most part this election was very predictable, so if there is any surprise it is how close the results were to what was predicted. The only other thing that wasn't necessarily expected was how close the Senate would be, but that is really no surprise, either.
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Rob
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« Reply #15 on: November 08, 2006, 09:50:26 AM »

Okay, something I just noticed... the Libertarian candidate in Indiana actually carried a county, Warren, with 59.8 percent of the vote. This, while getting only 13 percent statewide! I'm guessing it's his home county? He must be very popular locally.

Good show, Osborn. I don't think anyone on Earth predicted that you would win a county.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #16 on: November 08, 2006, 10:00:55 AM »

I was surprised to see only one OH district change hands.  I thought Deborah Pryce was a goner, but she managed to pull through.  Wulsin nearly took down Schmidt, but just missed out. Sad
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Raoul Takemoto
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« Reply #17 on: November 08, 2006, 10:07:34 AM »

The San Francisco Chronicle is calling McNerney's win in CA-11 over Pombo a shocker.

I'm proud my congressional district stood up to Pombo's corruption. Smiley
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nini2287
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« Reply #18 on: November 08, 2006, 10:33:50 AM »

I was surprised to see only one OH district change hands.  I thought Deborah Pryce was a goner, but she managed to pull through.  Wulsin nearly took down Schmidt, but just missed out. Sad

I hate to sound a liberal hack, but I wonder if voting machines/stolen election had something to do with that.  The way neighboring (PA, IN) and other midwest (IA, WI, MN) got hit hard by the wave it seems kind of funny that Ohio would remain relatively unscathed.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #19 on: November 08, 2006, 10:39:58 AM »

It might have something to do with the gerrymander; the Ohio Republicans got it "just right", unlike the PA Republicans who were too greedy (and who have just paid for their greed).
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #20 on: November 08, 2006, 10:55:52 AM »

Patrick Murphy winning, but Lois losing.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #21 on: November 08, 2006, 10:58:22 AM »


Is Gerlach bomb-proof or something?
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #22 on: November 08, 2006, 11:01:55 AM »


Or Lois Murphy isn't as good of a candidate as everyone thinks she is.

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Whacker77
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« Reply #23 on: November 08, 2006, 11:02:49 AM »

Chris Shays and Deborah Pryce are my shockers.  I thought those two would be sending out resumes today.  If anyone was going to win in Connecticut, I thought it would be Rob Simmons.  He staked his career on the submarine base, saved it, and still lost.

Congratulations to the Democrats.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #24 on: November 08, 2006, 11:04:50 AM »


I think it's both. When I woke up and found out that Gerlach won, I realized that he is unbeatable. I was in shock.
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