The Vorlon.... this get's back to my other point on the other thread.
You were right to point out that ABC/WP was the outlier.
However, in comparing apples-to-apples you left out the Democracy Corps poll among LV polls, which was in stark contrast to Harris (yes, Harris was during Reagan-week, but no way was that worth a 14% swing!).
And now this, Gallup. Yes, Fox/OD matches the other polls nicely, but most of those, recall, were a little older... partially or fully during Reaganmania. So, one could just as easily say Fox/OD is the outlier now... as the ABC/WP and Gallup match reasonably well. No, I'm not saying Fox/OD is wrong... or right... it's just all rather convoluted... We can easily argue ABC/WP and Gallup to be outliers. We can easily argue Fox/OD to be the outlier. AND, interestingly, the whole apples-to-apples thing... the Gallup **LV** portion of the sample DOES match the other RV polls nicely (giving Bush a modest lead)! Crazy.
Fortunately, being 4+ months from election day, we'll have another 34097209720389908629869234098 polls to try to get it right.