New Tradesports rankings

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UP: Cheney
DOWN: Clinton, Gore

Democrats
Clinton 47.1
Obama 18.9
Edwards 15.0
Gore 9.6
Richardson 2.1
Clark 1.5
Biden 1.5
Vilsack 1.1
Dodd 0.5
Warner 0.5


Republicans
McCain 38.2
Giuliani 18.6
Romney 17.4
Hagel 5.5
Huckabee 4.6
Brownback 3.8
Gingrich 3.4
Rice 2.0
Powell 1.5
Cheney 1.4
Bush 0.7
Allen 0.7
Hunter 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5
Pataki 0.5
Thompson 0.5

[jokerman]

OR and WA are equal odds?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

UP: Clinton, Kerry, McCain
DOWN: Pataki, Thompson

Democrats
Clinton 48.5
Obama 18.5
Edwards 15.0
Gore 9.6
Richardson 2.3
Clark 1.5
Biden 1.5
Vilsack 1.2
Dodd 0.5
Warner 0.5
Kerry 0.4


Republicans
McCain 39.5
Giuliani 18.6
Romney 17.6
Hagel 5.1
Huckabee 5.0
Brownback 3.9
Gingrich 3.7
Rice 1.8
Powell 1.4
Cheney 1.4
Bush 0.7
Allen 0.6
Hunter 0.5
Bloomberg 0.4

[Mr. Morden]

With his filing of candidacy, Giuliani has now shot up to 20.0, which is close to highest ever from 2005-7.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

UP: Gore, Giuliani
DOWN: McCain

Democrats
Clinton 47.8
Obama 18.2
Edwards 15.3
Gore 11.0
Richardson 2.3
Biden 1.6
Clark 1.5
Vilsack 1.2
Warner 0.8
Dodd 0.5


Republicans
McCain 38.2
Giuliani 19.9
Romney 17.6
Gingrich 5.0
Hagel 5.0
Huckabee 4.4
Brownback 4.0
Powell 1.5
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.3
Bush 0.7
Allen 0.7
Hunter 0.6
Bloomberg 0.6
Thompson 0.6
Pataki 0.5

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Giuliani near record high

Democrats
Clinton 48.0
Obama 19.4
Edwards 14.4
Gore 9.1
Richardson 2.4
Biden 1.6
Clark 1.5
Vilsack 1.2
Warner 0.7
Dodd 0.5


Republicans
McCain 38.3
Giuliani 20.7
Romney 17.6
Huckabee 5.4
Hagel 5.0
Gingrich 3.8
Brownback 3.7
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.4
Powell 1.0
Bush 0.7
Hunter 0.6
Thompson 0.5
Bloomberg 0.5
Pataki 0.5
Allen 0.5

Party winner
Democrat 55.1
Republican 43.1
Field 2.0

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DOWN: Clinton, Obama, McCain, Huckabee
UP: Richardson, Gingrich

Democrats
Clinton 47.0
Obama 18.4
Edwards 13.9
Gore 9.0
Richardson 2.8
Biden 1.5
Clark 1.5
Vilsack 1.2
Warner 0.7
Dodd 0.5


Republicans
McCain 37.0
Giuliani 21.4
Romney 18.1
Hagel 4.9
Gingrich 4.9
Huckabee 4.6
Brownback 3.7
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.4
Powell 1.0
Bush 0.7
Hunter 0.6
Thompson 0.5
Bloomberg 0.5
Pataki 0.5
Allen 0.4

[Reignman]

They need to catch up. McCain isn't looking quite as good right now.

[Mr. Morden]

That's the lowest for McCain in many months.  *Too* low, in my opinion.  I definitely think he has a better than 37% chance of winning the nomination.  Yes, he has his vulnerabilities, but that's not exactly a first rate crop of candidates he's running against!

[Saxwsylvania]

That's the lowest for McCain in many months.  *Too* low, in my opinion.  I definitely think he has a better than 37% chance of winning the nomination.  Yes, he has his vulnerabilities, but that's not exactly a first rate crop of candidates he's running against!

If we say that the Big 3 of Romney, Rudy, and McCain are the only Republicans with a chance at the nomination, then they should each have around 33%.  If anything McCain's is too high, and I'm still puzzled as to why most of the forum considers McCain to be a shoe-in for the nomination.

[Mr. Morden]

If we say that the Big 3 of Romney, Rudy, and McCain are the only Republicans with a chance at the nomination, then they should each have around 33%.  If anything McCain's is too high, and I'm still puzzled as to why most of the forum considers McCain to be a shoe-in for the nomination.

I don't think he's a shoe in.  I just think he's the frontrunner...a better chance at the nomination than anyone else.  Better than 37% I think.  I don't understand why you think Giuliani, McCain, and Romney all have to have exactly the same probability of winning.  Just because they're the three leading candidates doesn't mean their chances at the nomination are absolutely identical.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Brownback, Hagel, Gingrich, and Huckabee continue playing leapfrog.

Democrats
Clinton 47.6
Obama 19.7
Edwards 13.9
Gore 9.4
Richardson 2.6
Biden 1.2
Clark 1.1
Vilsack 1.0
Warner 0.7
Dodd 0.5


Republicans
McCain 38.5
Giuliani 20.5
Romney 18.1
Brownback 5.2
Gingrich 5.0
Hagel 4.2
Huckabee 4.2
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.3
Powell 1.3
Bloomberg 0.8
Thompson 0.7
Bush 0.6
Hunter 0.6
Allen 0.4

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Earlier today, Giuliani hit a record high of 25.

UP: Clinton, Giuliani
DOWN: Edwards, McCain, Gingrich, Brownback, Powell, Thompson


Democrats
Clinton 49.5
Obama 20.1
Edwards 12.8
Gore 9.3
Richardson 2.8
Biden 1.1
Clark 1.1
Vilsack 0.7
Warner 0.7
Dodd 0.5


Republicans
McCain 36.2
Giuliani 24.0
Romney 18.5
Hagel 4.1
Huckabee 4.1
Gingrich 3.4
Brownback 3.3
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.1
Bloomberg 0.5
Bush 0.6
Hunter 0.6
Allen 0.4

[Mr. Morden]

Romney is also close to his record high.  He's been gradually moving up the last couple of months.  Though, yeah, not nearly as fast as Giuliani has been the last couple weeks.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Obama near record high.

DOWN: Clinton, Dodd
UP: Obama, Edwards

Democrats
Clinton 48.6
Obama 21.5
Edwards 13.5
Gore 9.6
Richardson 2.6
Biden 1.1
Vilsack 1.0
Clark 0.8
Warner 0.6
Dodd 0.2



Republicans
McCain 36.4
Giuliani 23.2
Romney 18.5
Huckabee 4.2
Hagel 4.1
Brownback 3.7
Gingrich 3.6
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.2
Hunter 0.9
Bush 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5
Allen 0.4

[Inmate Trump]

Obama near record high.

And yet still nowhere near impressive.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Obama and Giuliani both near record highs.

UP: Clinton, Obama, Biden, Giuliani
DOWN: Edwards

Democrats
Clinton 49.5
Obama 23.0
Edwards 11.7
Gore 9.1
Richardson 2.6
Biden 1.5
Vilsack 1.0
Clark 0.8
Warner 0.6
Dodd 0.2



Republicans
McCain 36.0
Giuliani 24.9
Romney 18.4
Huckabee 4.1
Hagel 4.1
Gingrich 3.5
Brownback 3.4
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.1
Hunter 0.7
Bush 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5

[Mr. Morden]

Edwards is down pretty significantly from where he was in early January.

[agcatter]

The 28,000 sq ft house wasn't exactly helpful to the two Americas fighter for the little man.

Geez.  What was this guy thinking?

[Eraserhead]

Obama near record high.

And yet still nowhere near impressive.

Well I guess you don't find Giuliani's numbers impressive either right?

[elcorazon]

Obama near record high.

And yet still nowhere near impressive.

Well I guess you don't find Giuliani's numbers impressive either right?

and Romney's are downright crappy.

[Inmate Trump]

Obama near record high.

And yet still nowhere near impressive.

Well I guess you don't find Giuliani's numbers impressive either right?

Actually, no I don't.  I'm suprised McCain is as high as he is.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Clinton breaks 50% for the first time in a while.
McCain is at a several month low.

UP: Clinton, Richardson, Giuliani, Gingrich
DOWN: Obama, Gore, McCain

Democrats
Clinton 50.2
Obama 20.5
Edwards 12.1
Gore 8.4
Richardson 3.0
Biden 1.5
Vilsack 1.0
Clark 0.8
Warner 0.7
Dodd 0.4



Republicans
McCain 33.5
Giuliani 26.3
Romney 18.3
Gingrich 5.0
Huckabee 4.1
Hagel 4.1
Brownback 3.4
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.1
Hunter 0.6
Bush 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5

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Gore plunges

Democrats
Clinton 50.2
Obama 20.2
Edwards 11.5
Gore 5.4
Richardson 2.9
Biden 1.5
Vilsack 0.9
Clark 0.8
Warner 0.7
Dodd 0.4
Kerry 0.3



Republicans
McCain 32.6
Giuliani 26.1
Romney 18.1
Gingrich 5.4
Hagel 4.2
Huckabee 4.1
Brownback 3.4
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.1
Hunter 0.6
Bush 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

A lot of talk about how Gore has definitely ruled himself out, but he's still at 6.7%. Note that these things don't add to 100%. Almost every Democrat went up.

Democrats
Clinton 51.5
Obama 22.5
Edwards 11.7
Gore 6.7
Richardson 3.1
Biden 1.5
Vilsack 0.9
Clark 0.8
Dodd 0.8
Warner 0.7
Kerry 0.3



Republicans
McCain 34.0
Giuliani 26.7
Romney 18.6
Gingrich 5.4
Hagel 4.3
Huckabee 4.3
Brownback 3.4
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.1
Hunter 0.6
Bush 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5