New Tradesports rankings (user search)
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April 30, 2024, 03:32:03 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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Author Topic: New Tradesports rankings  (Read 183221 times)
Angel of Death
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,412
« on: February 07, 2008, 10:12:30 PM »

This thing is too overreactive. Neither of them should be above 51, 52 tops.
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Angel of Death
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,412
« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2008, 04:30:50 AM »
This thing is massively overestimating the Democrats' chances in the general election. If I have done this thing correctly, I derive Hillary's conditional probability of winning the general election assuming she wins the nomination to be about 58% (compared to 69% for Obama). That just doesn't look right. If she still wins the nomination, it's likely this will not happen without huge damage being done in the process to the party's chances in the fall.
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Angel of Death
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,412
« Reply #2 on: February 25, 2008, 01:06:45 PM »
What an outrage! I can't see Nader anywhere there!
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