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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  America: 2000-2016
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Yates
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« Reply #300 on: February 07, 2007, 10:33:23 PM »

Election Night 2008
We can now safely project that Senator Dick Durbin has won the state of Wisconsin.

PRESIDENT
Wisconsin

[X] Dick Durbin

Wisconsin neighbors Durbin’s home state of Illinois, so this is not very unexpected.  Still, after a round of major victories for Jon Kyl, this is at least one bit of good news for the Durbin campaign.



Electoral Vote Tally
Kyl: 241
Durbin: 145


Election Night 2008
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CultureKing
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« Reply #301 on: February 07, 2007, 10:37:41 PM »

this is good, your keeping me on my toes!
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Yates
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Posts: 1,873


Political Matrix
E: -0.38, S: 1.54

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« Reply #302 on: February 07, 2007, 10:43:11 PM »

Election Night 2008
We are now able to project a winner in the state of Iowa.

PRESIDENT
State

[X] Dick Durbin

Like Wisconsin, Iowa is a border state of Illinois, so Durbin initially had the upper edge here.



Electoral Vote Tally
Kyl: 241
Durbin: 152


Election Night 2008
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Yates
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,873


Political Matrix
E: -0.38, S: 1.54

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« Reply #303 on: February 07, 2007, 11:00:11 PM »

Election Night 2008
We now have some big prizes to give to the Durbin campaign.

PRESIDENT
California

[X] Dick Durbin

PRESIDENT
Hawaii

[X] Dick Durbin

PRESIDENT
Washington

[X] Dick Durbin

California is solidly Democratic.  In a way, Washington and Hawaii are too, but Durbin’s quick victories here are a good sign.  Oregon is too close to call at this time.



These victories also dramatically tighten the electoral vote tally.

Electoral Vote Tally
Kyl: 241
Durbin: 222


Election Night 2008
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Gabu
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Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

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« Reply #304 on: February 07, 2007, 11:02:34 PM »

I think it's fairly evident that Kyl will win, given that otherwise this will have had multiple Democratic victories in a row, but you're doing a very good job keeping it interesting nonetheless. Smiley
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Yates
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Posts: 1,873


Political Matrix
E: -0.38, S: 1.54

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« Reply #305 on: February 07, 2007, 11:06:24 PM »

Election Night 2008
We are now ready to make a major projection.  The state of Colorado will be won by Senator Dick Durbin.

PRESIDENT
Colorado

[X] Dick Durbin

This victory is a symbol of the Democratic Party’s new strength in the West.



Electoral Vote Tally
Kyl: 241
Durbin: 231


Election Night 2008
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Yates
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,873


Political Matrix
E: -0.38, S: 1.54

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« Reply #306 on: February 07, 2007, 11:18:04 PM »

Election Night 2008
We are now ready to project that Dick Durbin has won the state of Oregon.  No real surprise here.

PRESIDENT
Oregon

[X] Dick Durbin

The electoral college is closer than anytime this evening.



Electoral Vote Count
Kyl: 241
Durbin: 238


Election Night 2008
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #307 on: February 07, 2007, 11:20:06 PM »

Minnesota and Pennsylvania will decided the election.
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Gabu
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Canada


Political Matrix
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« Reply #308 on: February 07, 2007, 11:20:21 PM »

I'm gonna go out on a ledge and say that everything will probably come down to Minnesota, which Kyl will then win.
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Yates
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Posts: 1,873


Political Matrix
E: -0.38, S: 1.54

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« Reply #309 on: February 07, 2007, 11:25:01 PM »

Election Night 2008
We are now ready to make a very important projection.  Senator Dick Durbin has won the state of Missouri.

PRESIDENT
Missouri

[X] Dick Durbin

Not only is Missouri usually a bellwhether state, it is also one of the key states in the Midwest.  Durbin’s home state is really helping him out, helping him win Wisconsin, Iowa, and now Missouri.  Tim Pawlenty’s status as a Midwesterner does not seem to be helping his ticket at all.



For the first time tonight, Dick Durbin is leading in the electoral vote tally.

Electoral Vote Tally
Durbin: 249
Kyl: 241


Election Night 2008
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Hashemite
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« Reply #310 on: February 07, 2007, 11:27:27 PM »

Durbin! Durbin! DURBIN!
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CultureKing
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« Reply #311 on: February 07, 2007, 11:27:51 PM »

can we have an update on the popular vote?
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #312 on: February 07, 2007, 11:30:58 PM »

Pennsylvania will give Durbin the election.
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Yates
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Posts: 1,873


Political Matrix
E: -0.38, S: 1.54

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« Reply #313 on: February 07, 2007, 11:31:33 PM »

can we have an update on the popular vote?

Nationwide Popular Vote
(As of this moment)
Dick Durbin: 48.13%
Jon Kyl: 48.07%
Tom DeLay: 3.49%
Other: 0.31%
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Yates
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,873


Political Matrix
E: -0.38, S: 1.54

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« Reply #314 on: February 07, 2007, 11:34:57 PM »

Election Night 2008
It’s time to project a winner in the last undecided Midwestern state.

PRESIDENT
Minnesota

[X] Dick Durbin

This is the home state of Republican Vice-Presidential nominee Tim Pawlenty, and the Kyl campaign expected to win this, along with several other Midwestern states.  It seems as though Durbin has swept through the Midwest, shattering the hopes of the Republican ticket.



Electoral Vote Tally
Durbin: 259
Kyl: 241


Election Night 2008
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #315 on: February 07, 2007, 11:40:08 PM »

If Durbin wins NV, WV, and NH, he will win. Kyl can only afford for Durbin to win two of these states, with Kyl winning PA.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #316 on: February 07, 2007, 11:45:09 PM »

I predict a slight Durbin victory.
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Yates
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,873


Political Matrix
E: -0.38, S: 1.54

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« Reply #317 on: February 07, 2007, 11:45:41 PM »

Election Night 2008
We now have a huge projection to make.  Senator Jon Kyl will win the state of Pennsylvania.

PRESIDENT
Pennsylvania

[X] Jon Kyl

This traditionally Democratic state is part of the trifecta which usually wins Presidential elections.  With this victory, Kyl has attained all three states in the trifecta.  He could still lose the election, but he is in fine shape, once again taking an electoral vote lead.



Electoral Vote Tally
Kyl: 262
Durbin: 259


Election Night 2008
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CultureKing
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« Reply #318 on: February 07, 2007, 11:48:55 PM »

I'm not sure if I am counting wrong, but shouldn't Kyl have 265 electoral votes?
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Yates
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Posts: 1,873


Political Matrix
E: -0.38, S: 1.54

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« Reply #319 on: February 07, 2007, 11:49:47 PM »

I'm not sure if I am counting wrong, but shouldn't Kyl have 265 electoral votes?

You are prematurely counting Alaska, most likely. Smiley
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #320 on: February 07, 2007, 11:50:11 PM »

Will you be posting exit polls for NV, WV, NH, and AK, or would that just take more time?
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CultureKing
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« Reply #321 on: February 07, 2007, 11:51:10 PM »

I'm not sure if I am counting wrong, but shouldn't Kyl have 265 electoral votes?

You are prematurely counting Alaska, most likely. Smiley

oh yes, your right, sorry bout that
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Yates
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,873


Political Matrix
E: -0.38, S: 1.54

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« Reply #322 on: February 07, 2007, 11:53:45 PM »

Will you be posting exit polls for NV, WV, NH, and AK, or would that just take more time?


I will post exit polls before the last state.
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Yates
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,873


Political Matrix
E: -0.38, S: 1.54

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« Reply #323 on: February 07, 2007, 11:59:35 PM »

Election Night 2008
We can now project that Jon Kyl has won the state of Alaska.  This is hardly a surprise.

PRESIDENT
Alaska

[X] Jon Kyl



Electoral Vote Tally
Kyl: 265
Durbin: 259


Election Night 2008
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Yates
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,873


Political Matrix
E: -0.38, S: 1.54

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« Reply #324 on: February 08, 2007, 12:06:37 AM »

Election Night 2008
We can now make a call in New Hampshire.  New Hampshire has been one of the closest states during this entire evening, and now, with 99% of precincts reporting, we can make a call.

PRESIDENT
New Hamsphire

[X] Dick Durbin

Now, the only two states remaining are Nevada and West Virginia.  If Jon Kyl wins either one, he wins the election.



Electoral Vote Tally
Kyl: 265
Durbin: 263


Election Night 2008
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