Hillary vs. Romney predictions

[sethm0]

 
 Here's my map:

Clinton : 315
Romney: 223

 I have Romney pulling it out in Nevada because he is mormon. I also give him Florida. I have Hillary pulling it out in West Virginia, Arkansas, Missouri and Colorado, though these were all tough calls. Even if she lost those states, though, she would still win overall 284-254.

[sethm0]

 I'm just specutlating here, but what are the chances that McCain and Guliani split the moderate vote in the primaries, giving someone like Romney the chance to slip though. In Iowa and New Hampshire, are results like this really so crazy: Romney 30, McCain 25, Guliani 25, others 20?

 I am probably off base here for a number of reasons. Just thinking out loud.

 I would also imagine that in the general Hillary will leave a number of people on the left disatisfied and Romney the same on the right. Maybe we'd see 2-3% going to write ins and minor candidates.