Obama is the strongest Democrat in general election IA and NH polls

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Edwards is the 2nd strongest.

NH
Obama 47, McCain 43
Obama 46, Giuliani 39
Obama 48, Romney 29
Edwards 44, McCain 44
Edwards 41, Giuliani 40
Edwards 46, Romney 30
Giuliani 42, Clinton 38
Giuliani 39, Kerry 37
Giuliani 40, Gore 37
McCain 46, Clinton 43
McCain 45, Kerry 40
McCain 46, Gore 39
Clinton 45, Romney 31
Kerry 40, Romney 32
Gore 38, Romney 32

IA
Obama 42, McCain 39
Obama 43, Giuliani 38
Obama 43, Romney 28
Edwards 42, McCain 39
Edwards 42, Giuliani 38
Edwards 41, Romney 29
McCain 43, Clinton 37
McCain 43, Kerry 38
McCain 41, Gore 39
Giuliani 39, Clinton 35
Giuliani 38, Kerry 34
Giuliani 36, Gore 34
Vilsack 41, McCain 35
Vilsack 42, Giuliani 35
Vilsack 45, Romney 28
Clinton 40, Romney 30
Kerry 33, Romney 30
Gore 34, Romney 28


http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/12/25/174642/90

[MaC]

urgh, I know it's dailykos and has a large amount of hackishness, but both parties NEED better candidates to emerge.

[TheresNoMoney]

urgh, I know it's dailykos

Ummm, it's from a Research 2000 poll. Good lord.

[TheresNoMoney]

Anyone with a shred of political instinct knows that Obama is the strongest primary and general election candidate.

[Moooooo]

Obama is looking strong.  Especially for a guy who has never ran a national race before.

[Eraserhead]

New polls from American Research Group this week on the caucuses/primaries in not only Iowa and New Hampshire but in Nevada and South Carolina as well. I'm not sure if they are doing general election polling with it. Anyway I can't wait to see the results.

[Tender Branson]

New polls from American Research Group this week on the caucuses/primaries in not only Iowa and New Hampshire but in Nevada and South Carolina as well. I'm not sure if they are doing general election polling with it. Anyway I can't wait to see the results.

I´m looking forward too ! Considering that ARG was quite accurate in 2004 and 2006. In 2004 they only got few states wrong, and this within the margin of error.

[Padfoot]

I'm not really putting any worth into polls right now.  Essentially all you're getting is name recognition and personality favorability at this point.  If Obama is still ahead once the real campaigning begins then I may consider this significant.

[Eraserhead]

I'm not really putting any worth into polls right now.  Essentially all you're getting is name recognition and personality favorability at this point.  If Obama is still ahead once the real campaigning begins then I may consider this significant.

You may very well be right but us political junkies still need something to look at in these quiet months.

[Eraserhead]

New polls from American Research Group this week on the caucuses/primaries in not only Iowa and New Hampshire but in Nevada and South Carolina as well. I'm not sure if they are doing general election polling with it. Anyway I can't wait to see the results.

I´m looking forward too ! Considering that ARG was quite accurate in 2004 and 2006. In 2004 they only got few states wrong, and this within the margin of error.

Anyone care to guess to guess who is ahead in each state... this is tough but I'll try...

IA: Obama w/ Edwards a close second
NH: Clinton w/ Obama a close second
NV: Edwards w/ Obama in second
SC: Clinton (almost completely because of Name ID)

Unless Gore jumps in... I pretty much see this as a three way race.

[Gustaf]

I'm not sure if Obama will last all the way. I wouldn't be too distraught if he did though.

[Bay Ridge, Bklyn! Born and Bred]

I'm a Democrat, but I would NEVER vote for Obama as a presidential candidate.  He is a ONE TERM senator for crying out loud!    And has anyone actually read his book "Audacity of Hope"?  Its pretty shallow, even for a 2-year senator.

Why he has such a wide following is beyond me, really

[Tender Branson]

I'm a Democrat, but I would NEVER vote for Obama as a presidential candidate.  He is a ONE TERM senator for crying out loud!    And has anyone actually read his book "Audacity of Hope"?  Its pretty shallow, even for a 2-year senator.

Why he has such a wide following is beyond me, really

He won´t drag your country down further than George W. Bush. Trust me.

[TheresNoMoney]

I'm a Democrat, but I would NEVER vote for Obama as a presidential candidate.  He is a ONE TERM senator for crying out loud!

And I bet you voted for George Bush as well.

And has anyone actually read his book "Audacity of Hope"?  Its pretty shallow, even for a 2-year senator.

I'm about 99% sure you haven't read the book, either.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

ARG was pretty alright in 2004 except they got the biggest state wrong in 2004 and that was OH, where 70% of the polls had Bush winning. And as far as 2006, the Democratic turnout was high and the states that the dems did well in of course they were going to get right. Let's see how long Obama last. You can't predict nothing this far out in the election, but it does show weakness in the McCain camp though.