Dean disaster in NH, where does he go from here?

[Gustaf]

Where will he go?

He will go to Missouri and Delaware and SOUTH CAROLINA AND ARIZONA AND CALIFORNIA AND NEW YORK AND TEXAS AND THEN HE'LL GO TO  WASHINGTON D.C. AND TAKE BACK THE WHITE HOUSE! YEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEHAAAAAAAAAAAAAARRRRRRRGHHHHHHHH!

LOL...sorry, just had to...

[Gustaf]

Dean's in big trouble; NH was his second best state until recently. If he can't win in his strongholds, where can he?

Exactly. Dean is falling fast, he will do badly on Feb 3rd and that will be the death-blow to his campaign.

[Gustaf]

Dean should still win the March 2nd Vermont Primary.

Yeah, kind of sad to end up with nothing but that and D.C...

[Gustaf]

Dean should still win the March 2nd Vermont Primary.

Yeah, kind of sad to end up with nothing but that and D.C...

It's something.  Sharpton will poll ahead of him in SC.

Hopefully, Sharpton will beat Clark as well in SC, that would kill him!

[Gustaf]

IF edwards wins 2 or 3 2/3 states he is still in it.

Yep, but I doubt that he will, not after finishing 4th in NH. He will still get SC, but little else. And even if he is still in it, he wont get the momentum to beat Kerry on Super Tuesday.

[Gustaf]

I think that your overestimating the importance of the NH result (at least as far as Edwards is concerned)

Edwards is a populist and is southern. NH is rich and Yankee. Both Dean and Kerry come from states bordering NH. Edwards' was polling insanely low in NH until recently. He did not want to campaign in NH at all and probably only did to hurt Clark's numbers.
And so on.

Well, my point isn't really that Edwards was hurt by his NH result, I don't think he is, rather that he did not gain anything. My main point is that Kerry added to his momentum and polls are showing that Edwards does not have the Southern strength required to take on Kerry wíthout some momentum of his own. He could have gotten that in NH, but now he didn't. I agree that the abysmal result of Clark improves Edwards situation. I still think Edwards will win SC, and possibly 1 or 2 more states nesxt Tuesday, but that wont be enough to give him the nomination.