Gore/Webb v. Giuliani/Brownback

[© tweed]

Discuss.

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[The Man From G.O.P.]

/joke

[7,052,770]

/joke

Yes.  Those Deep South states won't vote for Guiliani period.

[DownWithTheLeft]

[Colin]

Really not a whole lot of change from the current map. Gore wouldn't be taking swatch of the South, though Webb would help him in Virginia. It would be mostly a rematch of 2004 however I think having Brownback on the ticket hurts Giuliani immensely.

[Inmate Trump]

Giuliani/Brownback--274
Gore/Webb--264

Webb helps Gore, Brownback hurts Giuliani.  If it were say Gore/Webb vs Giuliani/McCain the results would be different, giving Giuliani more of an edge.

[TomC]

307-231

[Colin]

This is about where I can see the election. The Democrats have a slight edge now but I don't think Gore could make any large breakthroughs against Giuliani unless either Giuliani gaffs up a storm or something even worse than the current course of events occurs.

Gore: 275
Giuliani: 263

Iowa, New Mexico, Ohio and Wisconsin are again battlegrounds. I think Nevada will be a swing state but it will most likely lean Dem in the next election. Webb would help bring in Virginia but that could be very close as well and depends upon how well Gore can do in Southern Virginia and how well Giuliani appeals to suburban voters in NOVA.

[CultureKing]

I think this is the most realistic map, not because Giuliani would be beaten by Gore but more of the fact that if Giuliani was the Republican nominee then surely an independent right-winger would run and gather enough support to hurt him nationally and swing the election to Gore.

[Wiz in Wis]

Gore 346
Giuliani 192

[JSojourner]

The problem with all these maps is that there are so many scenarios to consider.  What if Gore completely underperforms and flames out like Dukakis?  What if Giuliani sets the country on fire?  What if Giuliani wins the nomination but is found in bed with a campaign aide?  What if Gore is caught participating in a Wiccan ritual worshipping mother earth?

Of course, I am being silly.  But you see what I mean.  Anything can happen.  Ed Muskie broke down and cried (about something VERY understandable) and it was all over for him.  Howard Dean screamed.  Dan Quayle thought Murphy Brown was a serious issue. 

All things being equal though -- assuming Iraq continues to go down the toilet as it is now and assuming no major Indy challenger -- here's my map --

But let's assume things at least stabilize in Iraq...let's assume Brownback doesn't say anything crazy and Giuliani doesn't divorce his latest wife or get caught cheating on her...then Gore has to answer questions about his constant insistance that he was not a candidate...then I think it looks more like this...(and before anyone scolds me about Iowa, Wisconsin, New Mexico and Nevada -- just look at how close they have all been in the last two elections)

[Smash255]

No

Rudy is not winning New York period.   Its not going Republican.  Gore would beat Rudy in Jersey as well, not to mention having Brownback on the ticket would scare the hell out of anyone in New Hampshire, New York, New Jersey and probably PA as well.