ARG: New primary polls for IA, NH, TX and AR
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  ARG: New primary polls for IA, NH, TX and AR
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Author Topic: ARG: New primary polls for IA, NH, TX and AR  (Read 1727 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: March 23, 2007, 01:10:08 PM »

Democrats TX AR IA NH
 
Biden 4% 2% 2% 2%
Clark 4% 8% 2% 1%
Clinton 34% 49% 34% 37%
Dodd 1% - 1% 1%
Edwards 11% 12% 33% 20%
Gravel - - - -
Kucinich - - 1% 1%
Obama 32% 16% 16% 23%
Richardson 4% 2% 1% 2%
Undecided 10% 11% 10% 12%

Republicans TX AR IA NH
 
Brownback - - - 2%
Gilmore - - - -
Giuliani 30% 12% 29% 19%
Gingrich 11% 8% 7% 11%
Hagel 1% - 1% 2%
Huckabee 2% 40% - -
Hunter - - - -
McCain 20% 21% 29% 23%
Pataki - - - -
Paul - - - -
Romney 13% 4% 10% 17%
Tancredo 1% 1% 1% 1%
F Thompson 12% 5% 12% 10%
T Thompson - - 1% -
Undecided 11% 10% 11% 15%

http://americanresearchgroup.com/
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1 on: March 23, 2007, 01:20:18 PM »

Sorry Harry, but to put it in a more readable form (I'm only doing IA & NH, because those are the more important ones):

IA
Clinton 34
Edwards 33
Obama 16
everyone else at 2 or less

Giuliani 29
McCain 29
F Thompson 12
Romney 10
Gingrich 7
everyone else at 1 or less

NH
Clinton 37
Obama 23
Edwards 20
everyone else at 2 or less

McCain 23
Giuliani 19
Romney 17
Gingrich 11
F Thompson 10
everyone else at 2 or less


Yes, Fred Thompson is already in third place in Iowa, even though the idea of him running only first came up a couple of weeks ago.
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jfern
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« Reply #2 on: March 23, 2007, 01:36:48 PM »

Damn Hillary is still the front-runner.
Interesting to note that the state furtherest from NY and closest to AZ is the only one where Giuliani leads.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: March 23, 2007, 01:37:39 PM »

Oh yeah, I should also mention, for those who haven't been following this closely, both of ARG's previous Iowa polls (one in December; one in late Jan./early Feb.) showed Clinton leading by double digits, whereas every other pollster has shown either Edwards leading in the state or a Clinton-Edwards tie.  So this poll brings ARG more into line with what other polls have been showing.....though they do show Clinton & Edwards both farther ahead of Obama than what other polls have shown (but I think it's also been a while since the last Iowa poll, so there might have been real movement).
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: March 23, 2007, 01:42:25 PM »

Interesting to note that the state furtherest from NY and closest to AZ is the only one where Giuliani leads.

McCain has always been stronger (and Giuliani weaker) in the early primary states than in the rest of the country.  Also, other state polls have shown that McCain really isn't very strong in his own backyard.  Of course, he's ahead in AZ, but he's not that strong in any of the states around AZ.  He tends to be stronger in the Midwest and South.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: March 23, 2007, 02:22:00 PM »
« Edited: March 24, 2007, 03:43:19 PM by Eraserhead »

Anyone know what is going on with Texas? Are they moving to the 5th too?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: March 23, 2007, 02:32:35 PM »

Anyone know what is going with Texas? Are they moving to the 5th too?

They're considering it.  Here's an article about that from last week (though the writer of this article erroneously believes that NH will be voting on the 5th too):

http://www.themonitor.com/onset?db=monitortx&id=840&template=article.html

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It sounds like there is some bipartisan support for this in TX.  Not sure if Perry has commented on it though.
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