How about he is up for Reelection. He exits that seat to run for VP/and or GOP wins Gov and they pick up another senate seat. Plus Bayh can stay out of this one and run without this thought in 2008. AN open Indian seat definately goes GOP.
Well, I don't see why Bayh wouldn't take it, it would either give him a leg up for 2008 or 2012, regardless of what happens in 2004. And if he's pro-democracy on foreign policy, then he agrees with every other Democrat on that issue, so I don't see any conflict.