Will It All Come Down to Ohio?

[12th Doctor]

Ohio would only go Dem. in a solid Dem victory.  I think that Arizona and Nevada are the states that are most likely to leave Bush in 2004.  Not that it matters because I think that Minnisota, Iowa and Wisconsin are VERY likely to leave the Dems in 2004.

[12th Doctor]

I would bet money that as goes Ohio, as goes the nation.
It'll be the Florida (2000) of 2004.

I suppose that I can aggree with what you are saying, but I see it difficult to imagine Ohio going to a Dem unless it was a major Bush loss.  (By at least 4% in the popular vote)

[12th Doctor]

I would bet money that as goes Ohio, as goes the nation.
It'll be the Florida (2000) of 2004.

I suppose that I can aggree with what you are saying, but I see it difficult to imagine Ohio going to a Dem unless it was a major Bush loss.  (By at least 4% in the popular vote)

True.  It seems likely now that Ohio and the nation are going to Bush (still months to go; so much can change either way)
If Bush wins Ohio, that means things are going as they should and Bush will be reelected.
If Kerry wins Ohio, then he'll have won elsewhere presumably also and have won the election.

That's what I think.  If Ohio goes Kerry, it won't matter because Kerry will probably win Arizona, Nevada and New Hampshire too.