Mr. Moderate, I'm curious about your logic in regards to Oregon.
Same here. I believe that when you look at presidential election trends since 1992, Oregon ranks like 4th in the nation when it comes to trending Democrat.
Some people think it's trending back a little since a couple years ago.
I'm getting
deja vu, so sorry if I've ranted like this before.
The way I look at it it, Washington County and such doesn't seem to have any indications of trending anything but Dem. Clackamas County has its inner suburbs (they go along with Washington County) like Lake Oswego and then its outer exurbs, which I don't see as getting any more GOP.
Beyond that, I'm not sure where the GOP would improve...the growth around Bend isn't good enough, and probably not even Republican enough. I see it as stagnant, with more potential for the Dems.
The only area I really see the Dems risking losing in Oregon in the near future is Columbia County, and it continues to be inexplicably resistant. I was expecting it to trend Bush big time in 2004 like other working-class counties with lots of Dem-friendly evangelicals.